NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

FOREX-Dollar in doldrums as recovery optimism thrives

Published 16/02/2021, 11:39 am
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
AUD/USD
-
USD/CNY
-
DX
-
US10YT=X
-
BTC/USD
-
BTC/USD
-

* Sterling near three-year high on vaccine progress

* Yuan heads toward 6.4/dollar barrier

* Yen languishes as investors seek riskier bets

* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Feb 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was pinned down on Tuesday, as vaccine optimism boosted the British pound to an almost three-year high, while rising oil prices and buoyant expectations for global recovery supported commodity and trade-exposed currencies.

In trade thinned by Lunar New Year holidays in China and Monday's U.S. holiday, the positive mood also weighed on the safe-haven yen which made a one-week low on the dollar overnight and fell to more than two-year lows on the euro and the Aussie.

The U.S. dollar index =USD , which measures the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, sat at 90.351, not far above a two-week low it struck last Wednesday.

The Chinese yuan CNH=D3 , a favoured vehicle for playing the dollar's weakness in Asia, was on the brink of strengthening past 6.4 per dollar for the first time since mid-2018 and last stood at 6.4033 in offshore trade.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar AUD=D3 held near Monday's one-month high at $0.7785.

"The dollar tends to underperform when you see this broad positive sentiment in markets," said Rodrigo Catril, senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney.

"There are also inflationary pressures particularly coming from energy prices," he said, which is pushing up nominal yields - adding another weight on the yen as that can attract flows from Japan - but keeping real returns on Treasuries steady.

Bitcoin BTC=BTSP hovered just short of $50,000 as profit taking paused the cryptocurrency's steep rally that has carried it more than 60% higher in 2021 so far. yield on benchmark ten-year U.S. Treasuries US10YT=RR leapt five basis points to 1.2501% in early Asia trade on Monday, while most major currencies were steady. MKTS/GLOB

Sterling GBP= , which broke past $1.39 for the first time in almost three years on Monday, held at $1.3912. It also held steady at 87.15 pence per euro EURGBP= , its highest since May 2020.

Sterling has gained as much as 2.5% on the dollar in less than two weeks as the aggressive rollout of Britain's COVID-19 vaccination programme has raised expectations its economy will be able to recover more swiftly than European peers'. GBP/

The euro EUR=EBS was steady at $1.2132 on Tuesday while the yen JPY=EBS , which has dropped 2% so far this year, nursed losses at 105.36 per dollar. The yen also hit its lowest since late 2018 against the euro EURJPY= and the Australian dollar AUDJPY= and hit a three-year low on the Swiss franc CHFJPY= .

"The yen has been the worst performing currency of 2021, with its negative correlation to U.S. Treasury yields proving to be the biggest dampening factor," said Francesco Pesole, currency strategist at Dutch bank ING in a note to clients.

"When adding weak safe-haven demand as the global recovery gathers pace, some additional trimming of yen net long positions may be on the cards."

Ahead on Tuesday, investors are looking to eurozone growth estimates, a German sentiment survey and U.S. manufacturing data to gauge the relative pace of the world's pandemic recovery.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 8:26AM in Singapore (0026 GMT) Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.2138

$1.2125

+0.11%

-0.65%

+1.2138

+1.2125 Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

105.4200

105.3000

+0.00%

+1.95%

+105.4400 +0.0000 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

127.97

127.78

+0.15%

+0.83%

+127.9700 +127.7500 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.8895

0.8901

-0.04%

+0.57%

+0.8901

+0.8897 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

1.3920

1.3908

+0.09%

+1.89%

+1.3921

+1.3904 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2626

1.2644

-0.13%

-0.84%

+1.2640

+1.2627 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7790

0.7780

+0.13%

+1.27%

+0.7791

+0.7779 NZ

NZD=D3

0.7239

0.7228

+0.17%

+0.82%

+0.7239

+0.7229 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.