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Australia, NZ dollars swing higher, bond market soaks up record sale

Published 17/04/2020, 03:08 pm
© Reuters.
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By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, April 17 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were trying to end a turbulent week on a firmer note on Friday as risk sentiment returned, while the bond market absorbed record government borrowing with aplomb.

The Aussie had rebounded 0.6% to $0.6370 AUD=D3 , having slipped as far as $0.6264 on Thursday. That left it up 0.3% for the week but short of a one-month top at $0.6445.

The kiwi dollar bounced 0.8% to $0.6020 NZD=D3 , and away from a low of $0.5998. It was still off 1% for the week so far and well short of its recent $0.6131 high.

Risk sentiment had got a boost overnight from a report an experimental drug had shown encouraging results in treating COVID-19 patients, though all the data had yet to be analysed. helping was data confirming China's economy a contracted sharply in the first quarter as it went into coronavirus lockdown, but looked to have improved in March. Callow, an FX strategist at Westpac, said the Aussie had rallied farther than he had expected, but suspected it would be dragged back toward $0.6000 by a wave of "brutal" economic data in coming weeks.

"Over the past month U.S. equities and AUD/USD have carved out a V-shape that seems to match investor hopes that the global economy's deep decline in Q2 will be followed by a sharp recovery," he said.

"But even with glimmers of hope in slowing coronavirus infection rates, genuine recovery in economic activity, employment and profits is looking more like a hockey stick (shape)."

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will offer its latest take on the outlook next week when Governor Philip Lowe gives a speech and a conference call on the economy.

The central bank should be pleased with how its new quantitative easing campaign has gone so far, managing to keep three-year bond yields AU3YT=RR down near its target of 0.25% even while sharply scaling back the amount of debt it buys.

Having started in late March by purchasing A$5 billion a day, on Friday it was down to just A$750 million of debt.

That was all the more impressive given the Australian government was borrowing massive amounts of cash, with a record A$13 billion of a new 2024 bond sold on Wednesday.

Yields on 10-year paper AU10YT=RR have also eased to 0.88% from a high of 1.03% early in the week, even as the RBA chose not to buy as much long-dated paper as dealers had been hoping for.

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