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DoubleLine CEO Gundlach foresees looming US recession ahead

Published 07/06/2023, 02:17 pm
© Reuters.

Investing.com - DoubleLine Capital (NYSE:DSL) Chief Executive Officer, Jeffrey Gundlach, has expressed concerns over the possibility of an impending recession in the United States. In a recent investor webcast by DoubleLine reported by CNBC, he noted that various economic indicators like ISM new orders and purchasing managers' index suggest a potential downturn.

Gundlach, a renowned investor and bond expert, also pointed out that ISM supplier delivery delays are close to their lowest point in three decades. This indicates an excess supply compared to demand and could be signaling a weakened economy. Moreover, he emphasized the inversion of 2-year and 10-year Treasury note yields as another sign of an increased likelihood of a recession.

However, not everyone shares Gundlach's view on the state of the US economy. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) recently revised its prediction for the chances of entering a recession within the next year from 35% down to just 25%.

As investors eagerly await next week's Federal Reserve meeting outcome along with inflation data release, Gundlach explained how low unemployment rates have kept Fed policies tighter than they might otherwise be.

When discussing his ideal portfolio mix at this time, Gundlach revealed it would consist mainly of bonds (60%), followed by stocks (30%) and real assets (10%). Although less bullish now than before on gold as part of real assets allocation, he still favors investing in it.

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