Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Dollar firm as inflation test looms

Published 10/01/2022, 11:51 am
Updated 10/01/2022, 11:58 am
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A U.S. one dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Murad Sezer/Illustration

By Tom Westbrook

SYDNEY (Reuters) - The dollar started the week with support as traders bet U.S. inflation data and appearances from several Federal Reserve officials would bolster the case for higher interest rates.

After dipping on Friday, the greenback stood around its 200-day moving average against the euro at $1.1357 in early Asia trade on Monday. It firmed slightly on the yen to 115.65, fairly close to last week's five-year high of 116.35 per dollar.

Trade in the Asia session was thinned by a holiday in Japan.

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell and governor Lael Brainard testify before Senate committees this week regarding their nominations as chair and deputy chair at the Fed.

U.S. inflation figures are due on Wednesday, with headline CPI seen climbing to a red-hot 7% year-on-year.

"The dollar index is likely to recoup some of its Friday losses this week on Powell's likely hawkish commentary and rising U.S. inflation," said Scotiabank FX strategist Qi Gao.

Eventually, though, he added that the greenback would probably run out of steam, and the index head towards 94 once money markets fully price in a Fed hike in March.

The dollar index last sat at 95.800.

U.S.-Russia talks over rising tension in Ukraine also have traders on edge as the two sides seem far apart and failure risks an armed confrontation on Europe's doorstep.

The Australian dollar was marginally weaker at $0.7179 early in the Asia session and has been held below resistance around $0.7190.

The kiwi was steady at $0.6750. [AUD/]

The dollar had met with some selling late last week after a weaker-than-expected headline U.S. job-creation figure squeezed traders out of long dollar positions.

But analysts said better-than-expected unemployment numbers still made a good case for hikes sooner rather than later.

Fed funds futures have priced an almost 90% chance of a rate hike in March and a more than 90% chance of another one by June and U.S. yields have been surging higher.

Sterling was also marginally weaker on the dollar but has been rallying with bets that the Bank of England (BOE) is likely to be hiking in tandem with the Fed.

It was last at $1.3590, near a two-month high, and close to last week's two-year peak on the euro. Strategists at MUFG reckon traders are too hawkish on their rates expectations in Britain but still think sterling will hold its own.

"We still expect two rate hikes by the BOE which should keep EUR/GBP under modest downward pressure, which will result in GBP/USD advancing to around the 1.4000 level," they said in an outlook note published over the weekend.

Cryptocurrencies have faced pressure from broad selling in risk assets at the start of this year, but were steady in Asia after bitcoin managed to hold support at $40,000 through weekend trade.

Bitcoin last bought $41,784 and ether $3,145.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0020 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

$1.1354 $1.1362 -0.07% -0.13% +1.1360 +1.1347

Dollar/Yen

115.6450 115.5500 +0.00% +0.46% +115.6550 +0.0000

Euro/Yen

131.29 131.24 +0.04% +0.74% +131.3700 +131.2300

Dollar/Swiss

0.9190 0.9185 +0.00% +0.69% +0.9192 +0.0000

Sterling/Dollar

1.3591 1.3598 -0.04% +0.50% +1.3593 +1.3585

Dollar/Canadian

1.2649 1.2648 +0.00% +0.04% +1.2656 +1.2640

Aussie/Dollar

0.7179 0.7183 -0.05% -1.24% +0.7184 +0.7173

NZ

Dollar/Dollar 0.6773 0.6771 +0.05% -1.03% +0.6780 +0.6769

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A U.S. one dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Murad Sezer/Illustration

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.