Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Time seen right for Australia to issue a 30-year bond

Published 22/03/2016, 10:00 am
Updated 22/03/2016, 10:10 am
© Reuters.  Time seen right for Australia to issue a 30-year bond

By Ian Chua

SYDNEY, March 22 (Reuters) - With global interest rates at record lows as major central banks try to stimulate their sluggish economies, analaysts say there has never been a better time for Australia to sell 30-year bonds to secure long-term funds for ambitious infrastructure projects.

Australia's longest-dated bond now is its 2039 issue, launched a few months ago as the government has been slowly extending its maturity curve, and the next point looks like being 30 years, something investors said they would welcome.

Fund manager BlackRock, which has $4.6 trillion worth of assets under management globally, told Reuters such a bond would be well received.

"We would almost inevitably purchase such an issue," said Sydney-based Stephen Miller, a managing director at BackRock.

"With rates at historic lows... it makes perfect sense from an issuer point of view and there will be demand for it from the fund management community, not only locally but from offshore."

Despite Australia's developed capital markets and financial system, its sovereign bond market is relatively small. It almost disappeared when the government ran a string of budget surpluses in the 2000s and eliminated government debt in net terms.

The global financial crisis changed all that, and with public coffers under pressure as a once-in-a-lifetime mining investment boom fades, the government needs to issue more debt.

By the end of this fiscal year ending June, Treasury bonds on issue are expected to have swelled to A$430 billion ($328 billion), from just A$47-49 billion back in 2004-2008.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Fortunately, huge monetary stimulus from the European Central Bank to Bank of Japan have driven global bond yields to record lows, meaning global investors are on a relentless search for yield, making Australian yields attractive.

The U.S. Federal Reserve's comments last week that it would halve the pace of its planned interest rate rises this year means low interest rates will remain for some time yet.

Australia's top triple-A credit rating and attractive yields have been a major draw, particularly for foreign investors who now hold just under two-thirds of outstanding bonds.

Australia's 2039 bond 0#AUTSY= already offers a relatively plump yield of 3.2 percent, compared with less than 1 percent for 30-year bonds in Germany DE30YT=RR and Japan JP30YT=RR .

It also stacks up well against the U.S. 30-year bond US30YT=RR , which yields 2.7 percent.

Orders for the 2039 issue were roughly double the A$4 billion offered.

The concept of a 30-year bond is not new. Former Treasurer Joe Hockey talked about it when he was in opposition in 2012, saying long-dated bonds would help create an annuity market and boost the corporate bond market.

Treasurer Scott Morrison on Friday declined to confirm if the government would issue such a bond, but said he was keeping his options open in a "very constrained fiscal environment."

Malcolm Turnbull, who declared he would be an infrastructure Prime Minister, last month released an ambitious national blueprint that includes recommendations for reform in the energy sector, telecommunications, transport, water, among others. All of which needs funding.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

More will be revealed in the federal budget slated for May 3 but there is unlikely to be any issue until after the country holds an election some time over the next few months.

($1 = A$1.3094)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.