Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

UPDATE 2-Mongolia jacks up interest rates in effort to halt currency's plunge

Published 18/08/2016, 09:40 pm
© Reuters.  UPDATE 2-Mongolia jacks up interest rates in effort to halt currency's plunge
RIO
-
RIO
-
HG
-
TRQ
-

(Adds background, quotes)

By Terrence Edwards

ULAANBAATAR, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Mongolia raised its benchmark interest rates by 4.5 percentage points to 15 percent on Thursday, the central bank said, in a bid to stabilise a currency that has been in free-fall.

Elected in a landslide in late June, the country's new government has been plunged into an economic crisis, with its currency, the tugrik, losing 8 percent against the dollar so far this month, making it the world's poorest performing currency.

"Financial measures for the medium term have been taken to increase the rate of return for local-currency assets and provide more stability for the tugrik," the central bank said in a statement.

The Mongolian People's Party government, headed by Prime Minister Jargaltulga Erdenebat, is also cutting government salaries and suspending selected welfare programmes in a bid to reduce its costs.

The landlocked North Asian country, wedged between China and Russia, has been struggling with weak demand for its chief export commodities, coal and copper, as well as a collapse in foreign investment.

Mongolia's new finance minister, Battogtokh Choijilsuren, warned the 3 million strong nation last week that the government would struggle to pay out wages, prompting a collapse in Mongolia's sovereign bonds.

The state is even struggling to pay out prize money to its Olympic athletes. debt was projected to reach of 21.3 trillion tugrik ($9.48 billion), the equivalent to 78 percent of gross domestic product by the end of the year, according to the finance ministry.

The ratio was only 30 percent in 2009, when Mongolia last reached out for an International Monetary Fund bail out.

As investors sold Mongolian sovereign bonds over the past week, a $1 billion issue due 2022 MN086153904= fell 4 points to trade on Thursday at 86/87 cents on the dollar.

Analysts say the current crisis was a result of the previous government's attempts to reverse the decline in foreign investment through debt and fiscal expansion.

"Policy settings in recent years have been very loose, and contributed to pressures on Mongolia's external accounts," said Andrew Fennell, associate director, Asia Pacific Sovereigns, at Fitch Ratings in Hong Kong.

"We view the rate hike as a potential sign that policy priorities have moved towards stabilizing these ongoing external pressures," he said.

The country's rapid economic growth four years ago was based on large volumes of foreign investment into the country's huge and largely untapped mining assets, including the Rio Tinto-run Oyu Tolgoi RIO.AX RIO.L TRQ.TO project.

But huge new projects like the Tavan Tolgoi coal deposit have been put on hold, as Mongolia became embroiled in disputes with investors amid concerns over the growing role played by foreign firms in the country's economy.

Mongolia finally agreed a long-delayed $5.3-billion extension plan for Oyu Tolgoi with Rio Tinto in May, but the project, Mongolia's biggest earner, is not expected to rescue the economy, expected to grow at just 0.4 percent this year, according to forecasts from the International Monetary Fund.

The country received just $35 million of foreign direct investment for the first half of this year, compared with $4.62 billion for the whole of 2011.

And, the Asian Development Bank expects Mongolia to run a current account deficit equivalent to 8 percent of gross domestic product this year, and 15 percent next year.

Dale Choi, analyst at Independent Mongolian Metals & Mining Research, said in a note on Thursday that the currency, which has lost nearly 13 percent so far this year, had not yet bottomed out. He said the tugrik, which traded at 2,247 to the dollar MNT= on Thursday, was expected to weaken to 2,400 by the end of the year. ($1 = 2,247 tugrik) (additional reporting by Umesh Desai in Hong Kong; Writing by David Stanway; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.