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Fitch Ratings: Bolstered Balance Sheet Cushions Lendlease's Impact from Coronavirus

Published 02/07/2020, 01:04 pm
Updated 02/07/2020, 01:06 pm

(The following statement was released by the rating agency) Fitch Ratings-Sydney-01 July 2020: Lendlease Corporation Limited's (BBB-/Stable) announcement that it expects to report an unaudited statutory loss as a result of coronavirus-related measures taken globally and the crystallisation of costs to exit the engineering business will weaken its credit metrics albeit temporarily, says Fitch Ratings. However, we expect the Australian multinational to be able to manage the impact due to its healthy financial flexibility and good access to capital, including credit markets, capital partners and its own measures to preserve cash. Lendlease announced on 1 July 2020 that it expects to report unaudited profit after tax of between AUD50 million and AUD150 million from its core operations for the financial year ended 30 June 2020 (FY20), including AUD130 million to AUD160 million in reductions in investment valuations after tax. The company also disclosed that it expects pretax costs of AUD550 million to be incurred to exit its engineering business, of which AUD525 million will be recognised in FY20 - although the cash outflows are expected to be realised over the next three to four years. As a result, the company expects to report a statutory loss of between AUD230 million and AUD340 million for the financial year after an AUD467 million profit a year earlier. The company also reported that it has increased its cash and undrawn committed facilities to over AUD5 billion by FYE20, aided by its equity raising of AUD1.2 billion, additional bank facilities of around AUD500 million and net proceeds from its PLLACeS transaction on One Sydney Harbour of over AUD500 million. Lendlease announced that it does not expect to pay a final dividend from Lendlease Corporation Limited due to the expected FY20 result and broader operating environment, but this has the benefit of further reducing cash outflows. The reported delay in revenue recognition in FY20 was greater than Fitch had anticipated. Both the development and construction segments experienced delays in converting and delivering opportunities due to the lockdown measures globally, and there were delays in apartment settlements and higher cancellations in the communities business as households adjusted to the impact of lower economic activity. Lendlease made valuation writedowns of around 5% in the investment segment, but these will have no impact on its cash flow in FY20, although they may indicate lower revenue and cash flow generation from these assets in the future. Fitch believes that the measures the company has taken to strengthen its financial flexibility and its ability to absorb the ongoing effects of the pandemic globally support its rating and show its commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet, particularly as uncertainty remains. We also expect this will provide Lendlease with the flexibility to take advantage of any opportunities that may arise over the period, as it has done in previous economic downturns. Fitch now estimates Lendlease's leverage (total adjusted net debt/operating EBITDAR) rose to around 3.5x by FYE20, lower than 4.0x, the level at which we may consider taking negative rating action. We believe Lendlease will be able to recoup some of the delayed revenue - in particular, delayed apartment settlements and construction projects - in FY21 and beyond, and the company's leverage will improve to below 2.0x as it adapts to the new operating environment. The company continues to make progress in its core business, including formalising new capital partnerships and joint ventures on its Milano Santa Guilia and One Sydney Harbour projects, obtaining planning approvals on its urbanisation pipeline and resuming construction operations on most projects, albeit with some continuing impact on productivity due to ongoing social distancing requirements. In addition, enquiries in the Australian communities business have returned to pre-lockdown levels, helped by the government's stimulus measures. Contact: Kelly Amato, CFA Director +61 2 8256 0348 Fitch Australia Pty Ltd Level 15, 77 King Street, Sydney NSW 2000 Media Relations: Peter Hoflich, Singapore, Tel: +65 6796 7229, Email: peter.hoflich@thefitchgroup.com Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 6796 7234, Email: leslie.tan@thefitchgroup.com Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. 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