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Piper Sandler cuts Albemarle stock price target as lithium prices decline

Published 09/08/2024, 12:36 am
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On Thursday, Piper Sandler adjusted its outlook on Albemarle Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:ALB), a company specializing in chemical solutions, by reducing the price target from the previous $95.00 to $90.00. The firm has maintained an Underweight rating on the stock. The revision reflects a response to Albemarle's second-quarter results for 2024, updated company guidance, and findings from recent channel checks.

The firm's analysis indicates that the global lithium market, which is crucial for Albemarle's business, is experiencing a downward trend in prices. This is attributed to new production capacity significantly surpassing the growth in demand. Analysts expect this imbalance to continue affecting lithium pricing and the associated stocks over the next 12 to 18 months.

The updated price target also takes into account a revised pricing structure for all lithium products offered by Albemarle. This adjustment is based on the current market conditions and the supply and demand dynamics anticipated soon.

The firm's findings suggest that sales and manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs), a major market for lithium, are not meeting expected production rates in the European Union and the United States, despite China's demand outlook remaining stable.

Piper Sandler's report indicates a cautious stance on Albemarle's shares, pointing to the persistent challenges faced by the lithium market. The firm's outlook is grounded in the belief that the supply/demand imbalance will continue to exert pressure on the industry and Albemarle's financial performance.

In other recent news, Albemarle Corporation reported a 40% decline in net sales in its second-quarter 2024 earnings call, with revenues totaling $1.4 billion. Despite this setback, the company's energy storage segment managed to display a 37% increase in volumetric growth. In response to these developments, Albemarle has initiated a comprehensive review of its cost and operating structure, including significant changes to its Australian lithium hydroxide operations.

On the analyst front, RBC Capital has lowered the price target on Albemarle, while maintaining an Outperform rating. In contrast, Baird downgraded Albemarle's stock from Outperform to Neutral, adjusting the price target to $85.00 due to current market conditions in the lithium sector. Similarly, KeyBanc Capital Markets also reduced its price target for Albemarle, yet maintained its Overweight rating on the stock.

In a separate development, Arcadium Lithium is reassessing its Mount Cattlin operations in Western Australia due to falling lithium prices and increased production costs. This move is part of a broader initiative to reduce costs across its global business.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) has projected a drop in the average price for spodumene, a key lithium raw material, over the next year. Despite these challenges, some companies like Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR) and Pilbara Minerals continue to increase production.

InvestingPro Insights

Complementing the analysis provided by Piper Sandler, InvestingPro data and tips add further insights into Albemarle Corporation's (NYSE: ALB) current market standing. According to recent data, Albemarle has a market capitalization of approximately $9.29 billion, with a negative P/E ratio of -16.99, indicating investor concerns about profitability. The company has also experienced a significant revenue decline of -22.82% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Albemarle has managed to maintain dividend payments for 31 consecutive years, suggesting a commitment to returning value to shareholders even in challenging times. However, the company's stock price has been volatile, with a significant drop over the last week and a 1-month price total return of -20.26%. Analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, and a sales decline is anticipated in the current year. Despite these challenges, Albemarle's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, providing some financial stability.

For investors considering Albemarle's stock, these metrics and insights can be crucial. The InvestingPro platform offers additional tips, with a total of 15 listed for Albemarle, providing a more comprehensive understanding of the company's financial health and market position. For detailed analysis and further tips on Albemarle, a visit to InvestingPro is recommended.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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