👀 Ones to watch: The MOST undervalued shares to buy right nowSee Undervalued Shares

UPDATE 10-Oil gains while U.S. crude's discount to Brent deepens

Published 15/05/2018, 06:24 am
© Reuters.  UPDATE 10-Oil gains while U.S. crude's discount to Brent deepens
SOGN
-
TTEF
-
NXGN
-
LCO
-
CL
-

* OPEC report shows global oil glut virtually eliminated

* U.S. shale output forecast to hit new record

* U.S. sanctions against Iran keep oil near three-year highs

* Europe, Asia oppose plans for U.S. sanctions

(Recasts throughout, adds comment, updates prices)

By Ayenat Mersie

NEW YORK, May 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Monday as OPEC reported that the global oil glut has been virtually eliminated, while U.S. crude's discount to global benchmark Brent widened to more than $7, its deepest in five months.

Global benchmark Brent LCOc1 gained $1.11 to settle at $78.23 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 26 cents to settle at $70.96.

WTI's discount to Brent WTCLc1-LCOc1 was as much as $7.28, its widest since Dec. 12 on surging U.S. output.

U.S. shale production is expected to hit a record 7.18 million barrels per day (bpd), the Energy Information Administration said. production growth may be far from over, contributing to U.S. crude's discount to Brent, analysts said.

"You have the threat that a high enough price will start to activate the 7,700 drilled but uncompleted wells in the Lower 48 states," said Walter Zimmerman, chief technical analyst at ICAP (LON:NXGN) TA.

Contrastingly, OPEC's latest report was more bullish.

"That absolute plunge in Venezuelan production ... just highlights how tenuous the market is in terms of the supply-and-demand balance," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC.

Even so, OPEC and its allies were still trimming output more than their supply-cutting pact required. output from third-largest OPEC producer Iran is uncertain on renewed U.S. sanctions.

"If Iranian crude is really taken off the water, it's going to impact Brent much more than it's going to impact WTI," Zimmerman said.

It is unclear how U.S. sanctions will affect Iranian oil. Much will depend on how other major oil consumers respond to Washington's action against Tehran, which will take effect in November.

"Germany has said it will protect its companies from U.S. sanctions, Iran has said French oil giant Total TOTF.PA has yet to pull out of its fields and all the while it seems the Chinese are ready to fill the void created by the U.S," said Greg McKenna, chief market strategist at AxiTrader.

Michael Wittner, analyst at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN), forecasts U.S. sanctions will remove 400,000 to 500,000 bpd of Iranian crude from the global market.

Inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for U.S. crude futures, fell about 410,000 barrels between May 8 and May 11, said traders, citing data from market intelligence firm Genscape.

"The expectation that there's going to be a drawdown in crude stocks this week is keeping the market very tight," said Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ GRAPHIC: U.S. oil rig count

https://reut.rs/2rEGSMC

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.