🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

PRECIOUS-Gold gains on hopes of fewer Fed hikes amid shaky global economy

Published 25/01/2016, 05:50 pm
© Reuters.  PRECIOUS-Gold gains on hopes of fewer Fed hikes amid shaky global economy
XAU/USD
-
XAG/USD
-
GC
-
SI
-
CL
-
PA
-
PL
-
ECON
-

* Fed expected to keep benchmark rate unchanged this week

* Dollar weaker but off recent lows

* Coming up: German Ifo business climate at 0900 GMT (Adds Mizuho comment, updates prices)

By Manolo Serapio Jr

MANILA, Jan 25 (Reuters) - Gold edged higher on Monday, buoyed by expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may have fewer chances to raise interest rates this year in the face of a wobbly global economy.

That bodes well for non-interest bearing gold, which fell more than 10 percent last year, after the Fed lifted rates for the first time in nearly a decade in December.

The Federal Open Market Committee meets this week and is widely expected to leave its federal funds rate unchanged at 0.25-0.50 percent when policymakers conclude their meeting on Wednesday.

Falling inflation assumptions, coupled with turbulence in global markets could lead them to signal deepening concern over the outlook for the U.S. and world economy. gold XAU= was up 0.2 percent at $1,100.56 an ounce by 0638 GMT, after gaining nearly 1 percent last week.

"Given the turbulence in financial markets, the Fed might not be able to hike interest rates too many times in 2016," said Mark To, head of research at Hong Kong's Wing Fung Financial Group.

"If gold can stay above $1,100 in the coming days, it may signal a further rebound, maybe even to $1,200 in the coming months."

Expectations for a March rate increase are already starting to fade, and economists polled by Reuters now forecast three hikes in 2016 rather than the four initially floated by the Fed.

Mizuho Bank expects U.S. fourth-quarter gross domestic product to be revised lower which it said "can be a soothing balm if accompanied by renewed Fed dovishness."

The U.S. government will release its first reading on fourth-quarter economic growth on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters suggest U.S. GDP growth of 0.80 percent in October-December and annual expansion of 2.5 percent in 2016. ECON

Gold's gains, also spurred by a softer dollar, came despite higher equities as Asian stocks tracked Wall Street's rally on Friday. NKTS/GLOB

The precious metal had benefited from investor aversion towards risky assets that has hit global stocks and crude oil. It peaked at $1,109.20 last week, its loftiest since Jan. 8.

U.S. gold for February delivery GCcv1 gained 0.5 percent to $1,101.30 an ounce.

Hedge funds and money managers increased their bullish bets in COMEX gold in the week to Jan. 19, and also boosted their bullish bets in silver to the highest in more than two months, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday. silver XAG= rose 0.6 percent to $14.09 an ounce and palladium XPD= jumped 1.2 percent to $500. Platinum XPT= climbed 0.6 percent to $834.39 per ounce, regaining some lost ground after skidding to a seven-year low of $806.31 last week.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.