Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-Dollar struggles at 6-week low on cooling U.S. rate hike views

Published 03/08/2016, 01:15 pm
Updated 03/08/2016, 01:20 pm
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar struggles at 6-week low on cooling U.S. rate hike views
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
AUD/USD
-
DX
-
DXY
-

* Unconvincing data dims US rate hike prospects, hurts dollar

* Dollar/yen seen heading towards break of 100 yen threshold

* Aussie resilient despite rate cut by RBA (Adds details, quotes)

By Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO, Aug 3 (Reuters) - The dollar struggled near 6-week lows against a basket of currencies on Wednesday due expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later rather than sooner.

The dollar's softness followed a weak showing by Wall Street overnight, with indexes suffering their worst day in roughly a month in the wake of unconvincing economic data and falling oil prices.

U.S. consumer spending rose but the markets focused more on Tuesday's lacklustre inflation numbers. Economists say this, together with weak business investment and the second quarter's anaemic economic growth rate, could encourage the Fed to keep interest rates at current low levels for a while. dollar was ready for a correction after it went through a bullish phase on hopes that the Fed would raise rates. But I don't see the dollar falling much further from here. The U.S. economy may appear sluggish, but it is not stuck in a downtrend. The currency also serves as a safe haven," said Masashi Murata, senior currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in Tokyo.

The dollar index .DXY was at 95.209, within close reach of the 6-week trough of 95.003 touched overnight. The index was at a 4-1/2-month high of 97.569 as recently as last Monday.

The euro was little changed at $1.1212 EUR= after gaining 0.6 percent overnight to touch $1.1234, its highest since the Brexit referendum.

The dollar was up 0.3 percent at 101.195 yen JPY= . It slid 1.5 percent the previous day when it fell to a 3-week trough of 100.680, amid some disappointment that a Tuesday meeting between Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso and Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda did not result in steps to weaken the yen.

Junichi Ishikawa, currency analyst at IG Securities in Tokyo, reckons it is matter of time before the dollar breaks below the 100 yen threshold. The dollar briefly slipped below the watershed level in the stormy markets that followed Britain's vote to leave the European Union, but it has managed to stay above ever since.

"The break below 100 yen after Brexit was an irregular move. But this time, the yen is gaining steadily on fundamental factors like Japan's improving current account balance and fading impact of BOJ's multi-dimensional easing," Ishikawa said.

The Japanese central bank eased monetary policy on Friday by upping the amount of its exchange-traded fund purchases, but underwhelmed the markets by holding off from increasing the amount of government bond purchases.

Traders expected Japanese officials to try to talk the yen weaker to at least temporarily thwart a recovery below 100 to the dollar.

They also expected dollar demand to emerge at that level from Japanese investors like life insurers and pension funds, who have been steady buyers of foreign bonds.

The dollar's broad weakness helped the Australian dollar as well, as it rose about 1 percent overnight to a near 3-week high of $0.7638 despite an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

The Aussie last traded at $0.7609 AUD=D4 , effectively unchanged on the day.

The currency market awaited the July U.S. ADP private employment report and Institute for Supply Management (ISM) U.S. non-manufacturing activity data due later in the day for immediate cues. ECONUS

(Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.