🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Oil prices climb on geopolitical tensions, positive economic data

Published 30/01/2024, 12:28 pm
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A person puts gas in a vehicle at a gas station in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 11, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo
LCO
-
CL
-

By Nicole Jao

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Tuesday as a higher global economic growth forecast and escalating tensions in the Middle East offset concerns around Chinese demand.

March Brent crude futures, which expire on Wednesday, rose 47 cents to settle at $82.87 a barrel. The more active April contract settled up 67 cents at $82.50.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled up $1.04, or 1.35%, at $77.82.

The International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for global economic growth, upgrading the outlook for both the U.S. and China on faster-than-expected easing of inflation.

On Monday, both crude contracts fell by more than $1 as a deepening real estate crisis in China fueled concerns over demand in the world's biggest crude consumer, with a Hong Kong court ordering the liquidation of property company China Evergrande (HK:3333) Group.

"There's still concerns about what we've seen in China, but the fundamentals, from a supply risk standpoint, are still very bullish," said Phil Flynn, analyst with Price Futures Group.

Continuing conflict in the Middle East also provided support to the market.

U.S. President Joe Biden said he has made up his mind on how to respond to a drone attack as he weighs punishing Iran-backed militias without triggering a wider war.

" (The) latest upticks might be driven by some market participants adding some positions now that US President Biden has decided how to react," said Giovanni Staunovo, analyst at UBS.

On the supply side, the U.S. began reimposing sanctions on Venezuela this week after the country's top court upheld a ban blocking the candidacy of the leading opposition hopeful in a presidential election later this year.

Saudi Aramco (TADAWUL:2222) said it had received a directive from the Saudi energy ministry to maintain its maximum sustainable capacity at 12 million bpd and not to continue increasing it to 13 million bpd.

Saudi Arabia is the world's biggest oil exporter.

"While we remain hesitant to speculate on motivations for this decision, within it, we see potential acknowledgment of a firmer global supply picture than has been broadly appreciated," Walt Chancellor, an energy strategist at Macquarie, said in a note.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A person puts gas in a vehicle at a gas station in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 11, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo

An OPEC+ meeting on Feb. 1 is unlikely to bring a decision on the group's oil policy for April, analysts are hoping it could shed some light on production plans.

U.S. crude stocks dropped by 2.5 million barrels while gasoline inventories gained 600,000 barrels in the week ended Jan. 26, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Official U.S. government data is due on Wednesday.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.