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Iron ore set for fifth weekly fall in six on weak steel, rising supply

Published 03/06/2016, 01:19 pm
Updated 03/06/2016, 01:20 pm
© Reuters.  Iron ore set for fifth weekly fall in six on weak steel, rising supply
VALE
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* Seasonally slow steel demand period in China

* Shanghai rebar flat on week, Dalian iron ore up slightly

By Manolo Serapio Jr

MANILA, June 3 (Reuters) - Iron ore was headed for its fifth weekly drop out of six after falling to its lowest since February earlier this week, with downward pressure likely to build as China's steel demand slows and iron ore supply rises.

The steelmaking ingredient has fallen 30 percent from its peak in April when restocking driven by firmer steel consumption and a resurgent Chinese futures market combined to lift spot iron ore to its strongest level in 15 months.

"Chances are we can see prices retreat further," said Ric Spooner, chief market analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney, citing China's seasonally weak steel demand and higher iron ore supply globally courtesy of Australia's Roy Hill mine and Vale's VALE5.SA mine expansion in Brazil.

Construction activity usually slows down in China from June and through summer due to hot weather, curbing steel demand from the sector.

Iron ore for immediate delivery to China's Tianjin port .IO62-CNI=SI slid 2.8 percent to $47.90 a tonne on Thursday, according to The Steel Index.

That was the lowest since Feb. 19 and brought the spot benchmark's weekly loss so far to nearly 6 percent.

But Spooner said iron ore is unlikely to test new lows with Chinese steel demand expected to find support from Beijing's efforts to spur economic growth via more infrastructure spending.

"I'm inclined to the view that iron ore has a decent chance of holding in the low $40s," he said.

Iron ore touched $37 a tonne in December, its lowest in at least seven years.

The most-traded rebar on the Shanghai Futures Exchange SRBcv1 was up 1.6 percent at 1,991 yuan a tonne by 0251 GMT, recovering some lost ground after hitting a nearly three-month low of 1,894 yuan on Monday. It was little changed for the week so far.

On the Dalian Commodity Exchange, iron ore DCIOcv1 rose 0.9 percent to 349 yuan a tonne, after similarly touching a three-month low of 333 yuan on Monday. It has gained 1.3 this week.

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