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UOB stock a buy for Goldman as capital returns and income growth improve

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 12/11/2024, 08:14 pm
UOVEY
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On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) upgraded United Overseas Bank Ltd . (UOB:SP) (OTC: OTC:UOVEY) stock from Neutral to Buy, setting a new price target of SGD41.00. The upgrade reflects the firm's positive outlook on the bank's potential for operating income growth and capital returns.

The analyst at Goldman Sachs expects UOB to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3% in operating income from 2023 to 2026, which is twice the rate previously forecasted.

This optimism is based on a lower than expected number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, a stronger loan growth momentum, and consistent growth in non-interest income.

In addition to the improved growth forecast, UOB is also seen as being in a good position for capital returns following the implementation of BASEL 4 regulations.

The bank has committed to returning excess capital of SGD3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. This commitment is based on current fully loaded Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) numbers.

The analyst's commentary highlighted the potential 15% upside to the new 12-month target price of SGD41, which is a 17% increase from the previous target. Including the expected dividend yield of 5.7% for 2026, the total return could reach 21%.

Goldman Sachs' revised outlook on UOB indicates confidence in the bank's financial strategy and its ability to generate shareholder value in the coming years. The upgrade to a Buy rating and the increase in the price target suggest a favorable view of the bank's future performance.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro aligns with Goldman Sachs' optimistic outlook on United Overseas Bank (UOB). The bank's stock has shown strong performance, with a 24.78% price total return over the past three months and a significant 44.62% return over the past year. This momentum has pushed UOB's stock price to 98.69% of its 52-week high, trading at $53.84 as of the last close.

UOB's financial health appears robust, with a P/E ratio of 10.28, suggesting a relatively attractive valuation compared to earnings. The bank's commitment to shareholder returns is evident in its dividend practices. InvestingPro Tips highlight that UOB has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for an impressive 33 consecutive years. The current dividend yield stands at 4.88%, with a notable dividend growth of 13.2% in the last twelve months.

These metrics support Goldman Sachs' view on UOB's potential for capital returns and operating income growth. For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for UOB, providing deeper insights into the bank's financial position and market performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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