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UBS downgrades XPeng shares to Sell, cautions on risks after 50% rally in stock price

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 06/12/2024, 08:38 pm
XPEV
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XPeng (NYSE:XPEV), listed on the New York Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $11.9 billion, has been part of the rapidly growing EV market in China, which is seeing increasing competition and innovation.

The company has been expanding its product lineup and enhancing technology to capture a larger market share in the EV space.Investors holding XPeng stock are now faced with a new assessment from UBS, which suggests a more cautious approach to the company's shares.

The firm's analysis indicates that despite XPeng's recent successes, there may be potential risks that are not fully reflected in the stock's current trading price. For comprehensive analysis including valuation metrics, financial health scores, and expert insights, check out the detailed Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

UBS acknowledges the positive market sentiment towards XPeng's new electric vehicle (EV) momentum and rapid cost optimization efforts. However, the firm expresses concern that the current stock valuation already reflects these advancements, potentially overlooking unaccounted-for downside risks.

This caution is supported by InvestingPro data showing relatively weak gross profit margins of 11.7% and high price volatility with a beta of 2.75. In light of this, UBS has raised its projected volumes for the year 2025 by 19% to 300,000 units but maintains that the price target is more than 30% below XPeng's current market price, prompting the downgrade. Want deeper insights? InvestingPro offers exclusive access to detailed financial health scores and 10+ additional ProTips for XPEV.

The updated price target of $8.80 is still rooted in a 1.0x 2025 estimated price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, a common valuation metric used by analysts to assess the value of a company based on its sales. According to InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis, XPeng appears to be trading near its Fair Value, with analyst price targets ranging from $6.98 to $17.99. UBS's revised forecast incorporates the firm's expectations for XPeng's sales volume growth over the next few years.

XPeng, listed on the New York Stock Exchange, has been part of the rapidly growing EV market in China, which is seeing increasing competition and innovation. The company has been expanding its product lineup and enhancing technology to capture a larger market share in the EV space.

Investors holding XPeng stock are now faced with a new assessment from UBS, which suggests a more cautious approach to the company's shares. The firm's analysis indicates that despite XPeng's recent successes, there may be potential risks that are not fully reflected in the stock's current trading price.

In other recent news, XPeng, a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer, has experienced significant financial and strategic shifts.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) adjusted its stance on XPeng, downgrading the stock from Buy to Neutral, yet raising its price target to $12.50. The firm projects an 81% year-over-year volume increase for XPeng, tempered by caution due to expected 2025 competitive landscape. On the other hand, CMB International Securities upgraded XPeng from Hold to Buy, citing potential profit from cost reductions and new models.

BofA Securities increased XPeng's price target to $16.20 following the company's Q3 2024 results, which showed an 18% year-over-year increase in sales. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) maintains an Overweight rating on XPeng, citing new model launches and overseas expansion.

These are recent developments in the context of XPeng's financial performance and analyst ratings. The company also secured spots on both the "Fortune Tech 50" and "Fortune China 500" lists, reflecting its advancements in AI-defined mobility technology and autonomous driving. XPeng is also expanding its presence in Europe through a strategic partnership with Motor Distributors Limited.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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