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Nike stock under pressure as Evercore lowers FY25 EPS estimate, cites worsening trends

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 16/12/2024, 09:32 pm
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On Monday, Evercore ISI adjusted its outlook on Nike Inc (NYSE:NKE), decreasing the stock's price target to $97.00 from the previous $105.00. The firm maintained its Outperform rating on the athletic apparel and footwear giant despite the adjustment.

The revision follows a reassessment of Nike's expected earnings per share for the fiscal year 2025, which Evercore ISI now sets at $2.25, down from the earlier estimate of $2.70. This new projection falls below the consensus estimate of $2.71.

According to InvestingPro data, Nike currently trades at a P/E ratio of 22.03, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its near-term earnings growth prospects.

The reduction in the price target and earnings forecast is attributed to a perceived deterioration in market conditions across all geographies over the past three months. Evercore ISI indicated that Nike has been increasing markdowns and accelerating inventory clearance by taking advantage of the holiday shopping season traffic. InvestingPro analysis reveals that Nike's revenue is expected to decline this year, with the company's stock already down over 27% year-to-date.

Despite the near-term challenges, Evercore ISI remains optimistic about Nike's potential for recovery and growth. The analyst firm highlights Nike's significant scale and its pivotal role in the global athletic ecosystem. According to Evercore ISI, retailers, even those most impacted by current trends, are reliant on Nike's recovery for their own success.

Supporting this optimistic outlook, InvestingPro data shows Nike maintains a "Good" financial health score, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations and moderate debt levels. The company also boasts an impressive 23-year streak of consecutive dividend increases, demonstrating consistent financial strength.

Evercore ISI envisions a scenario where Nike could regain its momentum within a year if the company effectively manages its turnaround strategy. The firm outlines a "multi-year flywheel" for Nike, characterized by revenue growth outpacing the overall category, gross margin tailwinds from rebased retros, channel stability, and improved operations.

This positive outlook is based on Nike's ability to outspend competitors in marketing and strategic investments, which could lead to revenue growth outstripping that of the competition.

With a market capitalization of $115 billion and strong gross profit margins of 45%, Nike maintains its position as a prominent player in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry.

For deeper insights into Nike's valuation and growth prospects, investors can access comprehensive analysis and 11 additional ProTips through InvestingPro's detailed research reports.

In other recent news, Nike has maintained its Market Perform stock rating amid inventory challenges, as noted by Raymond (NS:RYMD) James. The company has witnessed a revenue decline of 2.83% in the last twelve months, with Citi expecting Nike's second quarter 2025 earnings per share to be at $0.58.

Despite these challenges, Nike has announced a 10-year extension of its partnership with the National Football League, aiming to expand football's global reach and enhance player safety. Stifel has also maintained a Hold rating on Nike shares, with a steady price target of $79.00.

Meanwhile, Baird continues to back Nike, maintaining an Outperform rating with a price target of $110.00, despite acknowledging current challenges.

Furthermore, Nike has seen a leadership transition with the appointment of Treasure Heinle as the new Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer.

Lastly, the company announced an 8% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, marking the 23rd consecutive year of such increases. These are the recent developments shaping Nike's narrative.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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