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Morgan Stanley upgrades Weir stock, cites margin growth and strong aftermarket potential

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/12/2024, 08:00 pm
WEGRY
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On Monday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) adjusted its stance on WEIR Group Plc. (WEIR:LN) (OTC: WEGRY), upgrading the stock from Underweight to Overweight and increasing the price target to GBP25.60 from the previous GBP20.80. Currently trading at $14.43, the stock has delivered an impressive 24% return year-to-date and is trading near its 52-week high of $14.81.

The firm's analyst cited several reasons for the positive outlook on the company, known for its engineering solutions in mining and other industrial sectors. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company maintains a "GOOD" overall financial health score.

The analyst's optimism is primarily based on WEIR Group's potential to achieve a 20% operating margin by 2026. The company currently maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 38.59% and demonstrates strong financial stability with a current ratio of 2.07, indicating ample liquidity to meet short-term obligations.

This target is supported by anticipated cost reductions and growth initiatives that could contribute approximately 200 basis points and an additional 100 basis points to margin expansion, respectively.

The company has already realized GBP25 million in savings by the third quarter of 2024, which bolsters confidence in reaching the GBP60 million cumulative savings goal by 2026. There is also a possibility that the savings could surpass expectations.

Another contributing factor to the upgrade is the current state of commodity markets. High copper and gold prices create a favorable environment for WEIR's aftermarket revenues in 2025. The company stands out in the European mining equipment sector due to its significant exposure to aftermarket revenues, which is expected to benefit from these market conditions.

The disposal of the Oil & Gas business in 2020 has led to a notable improvement in WEIR Group's free cash flow (FCF) generation. The company aims to achieve an operating free cash flow conversion rate of 90-100%. This enhanced financial flexibility paves the way for potential inorganic growth opportunities or share buybacks, which further underpins the analyst's positive view on the stock's future performance.

In other recent news, Weir Group (OTC:WEGRY) Plc has been maintaining a strong financial performance, according to its first-half 2024 results. These results revealed a year-over-year margin increase of 150 basis points, offsetting a 3% drop in organic sales.

Despite a slight fall in orders and sales, Weir's Infrastructure businesses showed robust delivery compared to its peers. For the full year 2024, Weir Group has improved its margin guidance to approximately 18%, adjusting to a softer sales forecast.

Jefferies reiterated its Buy rating on Weir Group, highlighting the company's successful transition into a pure-play mining technology company, and improved market position, product offerings, and management performance. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) also maintained its Buy rating on Weir Group, indicating a feasible trajectory for the company to reach its 20% margin goal by fiscal year 2026. Berenberg reinstated a Buy rating on Weir Group, citing the company's focused strategy, its reliance on aftermarket services, and alignment with long-term structural growth trends.

These recent developments underscore the confidence of analysts in Weir Group's financial trajectory, emphasizing the company's strong market position and its potential for further improvement in EBITA margins and cash generation.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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