Mizuho raises Paycor stock price target on acquisition

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 08/01/2025, 11:14 pm
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On Wednesday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its price target for shares of Paycor HCM Inc (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PYCR) shares, increasing it to $22.50 from the previous $20.00, while retaining a Neutral stance on the stock. This adjustment follows the announcement that Paychex (PAYX) has entered into an agreement to acquire Paycor for $22.50 per share in an all-cash transaction.

The deal, which values Paycor at an enterprise value of $4.1 billion, is set to finalize in the first half of 2025. The news has driven Paycor's stock to deliver an impressive 19.39% return over the past week, according to InvestingPro data.

The acquisition price represents a multiple of 5 times the next twelve months (NTM) revenue and 54 times the NTM free cash flow (FCF) for Paycor. Mizuho's updated price target aligns with the acquisition price, reflecting the terms of the agreement between Paychex and Paycor.

InvestingPro analysis reveals that Paycor maintains impressive gross profit margins of 66% and has achieved revenue growth of 17.45% over the last twelve months, making it an attractive acquisition target. Subscribers to InvestingPro can access 12 additional key insights about Paycor's financial performance and valuation metrics.

The deal between Paychex and Paycor is significant as it consolidates Paycor's position in the human capital management (HCM) solutions market. With the transaction expected to close within the coming months, Mizuho anticipates that the process will proceed without the emergence of additional bidders offering a higher price for Paycor.

Mizuho's analysis suggests that the acquisition price is a fair valuation of Paycor's business, considering current market conditions and the company's financial performance. The firm's decision to maintain a Neutral rating indicates that they see the stock as adequately valued at the current price, with the acquisition price providing a clear target for investors.

According to InvestingPro's comprehensive analysis, Paycor holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and maintains a healthy overall financial score, factors that likely contributed to its attractiveness as an acquisition target. For detailed insights into Paycor's financial health and valuation metrics, investors can access the full Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.

Investors in Paycor stock are now looking forward to the completion of the acquisition by Paychex, as it represents a pivotal moment for the company and its shareholders. The transaction is poised to reshape Paycor's future, potentially bringing new opportunities and efficiencies under the larger umbrella of Paychex's operations.

In other recent news, Paycor HCM Inc. is set to be acquired by Paychex Inc (NASDAQ:PAYX). in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $4.1 billion. Analysts from different firms have reacted to this development, with BMO Capital Markets and TD Cowen upgrading Paycor's stock citing growth prospects and a more attractive risk/reward balance.

Conversely, Stifel analysts have downgraded Paycor's stock from Buy to Hold, lowering the price target to $22.50, while BMO cut Paycor's stock rating and price target to $22.50 from $24.

Despite the acquisition, Needham maintained its Buy rating for Paycor, reflecting confidence in the company's standalone value. In the financial realm, Paycor reported a 17% increase in total revenue, reaching $167 million, and a 16% increase in recurring revenue at the start of fiscal year 2025. The company also ended the first quarter with a strong cash position of $98 million, free of debt.

These are recent developments and investors are advised to keep a close eye on Paycor's progress in the coming quarters.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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