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Citi views risk/reward as balanced for ULTA Beauty stock ahead of Q3 earnings

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 29/11/2024, 10:22 pm
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Considering ULTA Beauty's stock is trading at a current P/E multiple of 15.05x, Citi believes the risk/reward profile is balanced ahead of the third-quarter earnings report. According to InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis, ULTA Beauty is currently fairly valued. The updated price target reflects the analyst's assessment of the company's financial outlook and market position, supported by its strong financial health score and moderate debt levels.

Considering ULTA Beauty's stock is trading at a current P/E multiple of 15.05x, Citi believes the risk/reward profile is balanced ahead of the third-quarter earnings report. According to InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis, ULTA Beauty is currently fairly valued. The updated price target reflects the analyst's assessment of the company's financial outlook and market position, supported by its strong financial health score and moderate debt levels.

The firm anticipates that ULTA Beauty's management will provide a narrower forecast range for fiscal year 2024 earnings, effectively removing the possibility of a worst-case scenario. This adjustment is predicted to result in fourth-quarter EPS guidance that aligns with the consensus expectations. Furthermore, the preliminary guidance for fiscal year 2025, which includes positive comparable sales below the 3-4% algorithm and an EBIT margin between 11-12%, suggests a stabilization in comparable sales trends. This is seen as a slight positive, indicating increased confidence in meeting fiscal year 2025 targets.

Considering ULTA Beauty's stock is trading at a current P/E multiple of 15.05x, Citi believes the risk/reward profile is balanced ahead of the third-quarter earnings report. According to InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis, ULTA Beauty is currently fairly valued. The updated price target reflects the analyst's assessment of the company's financial outlook and market position, supported by its strong financial health score and moderate debt levels.

In other recent news, ULTA Beauty has been in the spotlight with several noteworthy developments. The company received a downgrade in its stock rating by William Blair from Outperform to Market Perform, citing concerns about the shift of the beauty market to online platforms and the impact on ULTA's future performance. JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM), however, maintained an Overweight rating on the company, with a price target of $472, despite anticipating a slight decline in ULTA's comparable store sales for the third quarter of 2024.

Citi reaffirmed its Neutral stance on ULTA shares, citing near to medium-term challenges due to slower category growth and increased competition. ULTA Beauty announced plans to increase its store count by 200 over the next three years and confirmed its fiscal year 2024 guidance. The company also announced a new $3 billion share repurchase authorization.

Analysts' consensus for ULTA's 2025 earnings per share seems to be converging around $23, slightly below the prior consensus of $24.60. These recent developments reflect a cautious outlook on the company's ability to meet the optimistic forecasts for its financial performance over the next few years.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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