Citi maintains buy on Chevron stock, sees upside in Namibia drilling

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 26/11/2024, 10:24 pm
CVX
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On Tuesday, Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating on Chevron (NYSE:CVX) with a steady price target of $185.00. The firm emphasized the unique potential of Chevron's upcoming exploration activities in Namibia. Unlike typical operations of major oil companies, Chevron's drilling in Namibia presents significant operational leverage due to its substantial 80% equity stake in the region.

The exploration area is particularly promising as it is located in a region where previous successful discoveries have been made. Citi highlighted the potential financial impact of a high-end success in Namibia, estimating a net present value (NPV) increase of $10 to $20 billion. This would translate to a 3 to 6 percent rise in equity for Chevron.

The firm also noted the strategic importance of the Namibia drilling results. A positive outcome could provide a valuable counterbalance to any unfavorable results from Chevron's partnership with Hess Corporation (NYSE:HES). The anticipation around Chevron's first well result in Namibia is building, with expectations set for an announcement by early February.

Chevron's stock rating remains unchanged at Buy, as Citi's analysis suggests confidence in the oil company's prospects. The price target of $185.00 reflects the firm's assessment of Chevron's potential gains from its exploration and drilling projects.

Investors and market watchers are now looking forward to the upcoming well results, which could significantly influence Chevron's market position and financial standing. The developments in Namibia are set to be a focal point for Chevron's performance in the near term.

In other recent news, Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) has seen a flurry of activity. The company reported strong earnings in the third quarter of 2024, with profits amounting to $4.5 billion or $2.48 per share, driven by a 7% increase in worldwide production. Chevron has also resumed operations at its Gulf of Mexico platforms following Hurricane Rafael, a key move given these assets' significant contribution to the company's overall output.

Chevron's stock received an upgrade from Citi, moving from Neutral to Buy, with a new price target of $185, up from $145. This upgrade is fueled by optimism around the upcoming drilling campaign in Namibia and the arbitration with Hess Corporation. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities also increased Chevron's price target from $189 to $194, maintaining an Outperform rating, following strong operational execution across the company's upstream portfolio.

However, TD Cowen and Truist Securities maintained a Hold rating on Chevron shares. TD Cowen kept a consistent price target of $160, while Truist Securities raised the stock's price target to $155 from $150. Both firms highlighted potential gains if Chevron successfully acquires Hess Corporation, despite anticipating minimal earnings and free cash flow growth in the next year.

InvestingPro Insights

Chevron's exploration activities in Namibia, as highlighted by Citi, align well with the company's strong financial position and market standing. According to InvestingPro data, Chevron boasts a substantial market capitalization of $288.18 billion, underlining its significant presence in the oil and gas sector. This financial strength provides a solid foundation for high-stakes exploration projects like the one in Namibia.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Chevron is a "prominent player in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry," which supports Citi's positive outlook on the company's exploration potential. Additionally, the tip that Chevron "operates with a moderate level of debt" suggests the company has the financial flexibility to pursue ambitious projects without overextending itself.

The company's dividend history is particularly noteworthy. An InvestingPro Tip indicates that Chevron "has raised its dividend for 37 consecutive years," demonstrating a long-term commitment to shareholder returns. This track record of dividend growth, coupled with a current dividend yield of 4.07%, may provide investors with a cushion of steady returns while they await the potentially game-changing results from Namibia.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights that could further illuminate Chevron's investment potential in the context of its exploration activities and overall market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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