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BofA upgrades Amcor shares rating to buy, sees 28% return potential

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/12/2024, 11:12 pm
AMCR
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On Wednesday, BofA Securities announced an upgrade for Amcor Plc. (NYSE: NYSE:AMCR) shares, lifting the rating from Underperform to Buy. The firm also set a price target of $12.50 for the stock. Currently trading at $10.13, with a notable dividend yield of 5.03% and a track record of six consecutive years of dividend increases, Amcor has shown consistent shareholder returns.

The adjustment reflects a positive outlook on the company's future performance, with a projected total return potential of 28%. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock generally trades with low volatility, making it an interesting consideration for income-focused investors.

The optimism from BofA Securities stems from several factors, including the anticipated merger with Berry, which is seen as a significant event for Amcor. With a solid financial health score of GOOD from InvestingPro and a year-to-date return of 10.46%, the company appears well-positioned for this strategic move.

The price target suggests a substantial upside from the current trading levels. The analyst also upgraded the company's Australia listing, maintaining the price target at A$19.30.

The merger between Amcor and Berry is expected to generate considerable synergies. BofA Securities estimates these synergies to be around $650 million, excluding one-time cash benefits. Moreover, the analyst believes that the company's synergy guidance is conservative and could be understated by approximately $50-100 million.

Although the full benefits of the synergies are not anticipated to materialize until the fiscal year 2026, which begins in June, due to the time required for regulatory approvals, the analyst does not foresee significant risks to the merger's approval. The transaction is projected to close by mid-2025.

Despite some concerns regarding the growth and synergy story, the analyst expects that favorable comparisons and other factors will bolster the narrative in the upcoming year, supporting the stock's performance. As a result, investors are encouraged by the potential for a notable increase in Amcor's stock value following the merger's completion and the realization of expected synergies.

In other recent news, Amcor, a global leader in packaging solutions, has reported several key developments. The company's first quarter financial performance for fiscal 2025 reflected a 2% increase in overall volumes and a 5% year-over-year growth in adjusted earnings per share.

Despite facing challenges in the healthcare sector and North American beverage demand, Amcor maintains its full-year guidance, projecting an adjusted earnings per share between $0.72 and $0.76, and a strong adjusted free cash flow of $900 million to $1 billion.

In addition, Amcor's Annual General Meeting resulted in the election of ten directors for a one-year term each and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers AG as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year 2025. The company also received approval from shareholders on a non-binding advisory vote on the company's executive compensation.

Amcor also reported the sale of its 50% interest in Bericap North America for $122 million, a strategic move aimed at reducing debt. However, the company noted a 1% decrease in sales on a constant currency basis due to lower healthcare sales and a 4% decline in the Rigid Packaging (NYSE:PKG) segment's volumes due to weak demand in North American beverages. These recent developments highlight Amcor's strategic initiatives for growth and sustainability.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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