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Investors should brace for more volatility next week amid growing uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. U.S. CPI inflation, the latest retail sales figures, and a read on...
Risk markets hinged on comments from Fed Chair Powell that signalled more rate rises are likely on the way in the battle to combat inflation, with bond yields rising across the curve while the USD...
The Marshmallow Test was designed to assess children's self-control and ability to delay gratification But that is a test today's investors have failed miserably, with short-term returns favored over...
Asian share markets are moving back into a positive mood despite a wobbly Wall Street overnight as Chinese inflation dropped to the soft side yet again. The Australian dollar remains at a weekly low...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiked the official cash rate by another 25 basis points in November in a highly anticipated, Melbourne Cup-day decision.That sees the rate at 4.35% – the...
Stocks had a boring day; I think the last three days add to the idea that last week’s rally was driven by options market positioning, and the declining market breadth supports that idea even...
Another very mixed overnight session with Wall Street eventually putting in scratch sessions despite a positive European session as bond markets outweighed risk sentiment with pricing for further Fed...
It’s important, I think, that I occasionally remind readers of a fact that is supported by overwhelming quantitative evidence, and yet virtually ignored by a wide majority of economists (and...
The following headline from a July 2020 CNBC article is stunning: "Here’s why economists don’t expect trillions of dollars in economic stimulus to create inflation." In hindsight, so many...
Asian share markets have not liked the wobbly tone on overnight markets with the rising USD not helping either. The Australian dollar fell back to a weekly low following the expected RBA rate rise...
A slight change in sentiment overnight following the weekend absorption of the softer than expected US non-farm payrolls print on Friday night, with USD reasserting itself and pushing bond yields...
A historical pattern suggests that years following negative performances in August, September, and October often see strong November and December gains in the stock market. But, Geopolitical turmoil...
Another sea of green across Asian share markets as the trading week restarts following Friday nights soft US jobs report that saw a retraction in bond yields and the USD with risk sentiment very...
It’s expected the central bank's board will contemplate if last fortnight’s shock inflation read is worthy of a thirteenth rate hike tomorrow. Key points The RBA board will meet...
Global markets What a week! Softer-than-expected US economic data, reduced Treasury issuance, Middle East containment and a somewhat more dovish Federal Reserve saw bond yields plummet last week and...