When interest rates fall, bond prices rise. And while it has been some time since we’ve been able to say interest rates are dropping, the past few months have done just that.
The pullback in interest rates is coinciding with investors' optimism that the Federal Reserve is done raising rates and inflation is subdued.
Taken together, this has had a very positive effect on bond prices over the past few months.
And we can see this in today’s chart 6-pack of important bond ETFs (that range from junk to corporate to treasury bonds): Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (NASDAQ:BND), iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSE:AGG), iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (NYSE:LQD), Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (NASDAQ:VCIT), iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (NYSE:HYG) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT).
That said, the rally from the October lows has each ETF nearing overhead resistance. And this is also occurring while the RSI indicator is near 2-year highs for each asset.
It will be important how these bond ETFs handle this resistance.