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Australian dollar worse than trash

Published 19/07/2023, 09:58 am
EUR/USD
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AUD/USD
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XAU/USD
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US500
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EEM
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GC
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HG
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LCO
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ESH25
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RIO
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US10YT=X
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KRE
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HYG
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DXY
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DXY was soft and EUR firm:

Risk is raging but the AUD is not.

Gold and oil are food and running:

Dirt yawn:

Mining (NYSE:RIO) yawn:

EM (NYSE:EEM) may be dead thanks to China going ex-growth:

Junk (NYSE:HYG) is not supportive:

Yields eased:

Stocks only go up:

Especially insolvent banks (NYSE:KRE) as the dash for trash accelerates. Did credit-crunched small US banks? Buy ’em!

Everything US is partying but global risk is not.

A big, fat and exhausted Chinese elephant has sat on everything else. Goldman’s and Zoltan’s commodity super cycle is getting hosed:

While the falling DXY persists, there will be upwards pressure on AUD but it is fighting massive wind shear in ex-growth China.

The latter will win easily in the long run as we redo the post-2012 period for dirt.

A super bust cycle for commodities and the AUD.

 
 

 

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