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Wall Street initiates coverage on Lineage stock with predominantly bullish stance

Published 19/08/2024, 09:20 pm
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Investing.com -- Brokerages, including RBC Capital Markets, Evercore ISI, and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), have initiated coverage on Lineage Inc (NASDAQ:LINE) each highlighting the company’s strong market position, technological advancements, and growth potential. 

The analysts are predominantly bullish, albeit with varying degrees of caution regarding valuation and near-term industry challenges.

All three brokerages flag Lineage's dominant market share in the cold storage industry. The company operates a vast network of over 480 temperature-controlled warehouses, serving 13,000 customers globally. 

This scale positions Lineage as a critical player in the global food supply chain, offering significant competitive advantages in terms of tenant relationships, operational efficiency, and future acquisition opportunities.

“We believe the company will be able to leverage its platform, tech initiatives, and scale to drive efficiencies within the in-place portfolio and source accretive acquisitions,” said analysts at RBC Capital Markets

RBC Capital Markets highlights the company’s proprietary automation software, LinOS, which is expected to drive productivity gains by reducing labor costs and improving warehouse operations. These technological advancements, along with energy-saving initiatives, are seen as key drivers of Lineage’s ability to enhance margins and operational efficiency.

Lineage’s portfolio is recognized as one of the best in the industry, with newer, strategically located properties that give it a competitive edge. Analysts from Wells Fargo and Evercore ISI both note the superior quality of Lineage’s assets and the company’s ability to leverage its scale for future growth. 

“Given LINE’s aggressive acquisition strategy over the past few years, we incorporate $1bn of acquisitions annually starting ‘25 at a mid 7’s cap rate,” said analysts at Evercore ISI. 

Despite the overall positive outlook, analysts are cautious about certain near-term challenges facing the company and the broader cold storage industry.

Wells Fargo and Evercore ISI both point to recent declines in occupancy rates as a concern. Lineage saw a year-over-year economic occupancy loss of around 240 basis points, while its closest competitor, Americold Realty (NYSE:COLD) Trust, saw a more substantial decline of 600 basis points. 

Additionally, industry data indicates that total cold storage volumes in 2024 are lower than average levels over the past five years, reflecting broader macroeconomic headwinds and shifts in consumer behavior.

While the analysts  are generally optimistic about Lineage’s long-term prospects, there is some caution around its current valuation. Evercore ISI, notes that Lineage’s stock has outperformed since its IPO, trading at a premium to Americold Realty Trust on an EV/EBITDA basis. 

Wells Fargo also points out that while Lineage’s premium valuation is justified by its higher AFFO growth potential, the risk/reward balance at current levels warrants careful consideration. This is the main reason why Wells Fargo remains on the sidelines.

Analyst sentiment towards the stock is overwhelmingly bullish, with nine out of twelve analysts initiating coverage with a bullish rating.

 

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