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FOREX-Dollar sits below 2-mth high; Aussie buoyed by solid GDP

Published 01/06/2016, 02:50 pm
Updated 01/06/2016, 03:00 pm
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar sits below 2-mth high; Aussie buoyed by solid GDP

* Dollar index trades below recent 2-month peak

* Aussie gains after Australia's Q1 GDP exceeds forecasts

* Pound hampered by renewed worries about Brexit risk (Updates prices, adds comments)

By Masayuki Kitano and Hideyuki Sano

SINGAPORE/TOKYO, June 1 (Reuters) - The dollar sat just below a two-month high against a basket of major currencies on Wednesday after a mixed bag of U.S. economic data slightly tempered expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike.

The Australian dollar pushed higher after the country's first-quarter economic growth exceeded market forecasts and prompted investors to scale back expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to lower interest rates soon. Aussie dollar rose to $0.7300 at one point, pulling away from a 2-1/2 month low of $0.7145 set last week. The currency last traded at $0.7276 AUD=D3 , up 0.6 percent.

Some analysts said gains in the Australian dollar could be limited in the near-term despite the strong GDP number.

"In our view, the job market remains fragile. Hence domestic demand will remain weak," Roy Teo, senior FX strategist for ABN AMRO (AS:ABNd) Bank in Singapore, said in a research note

He expects the currency to face resistance at $0.7350 ahead of U.S. jobs data due out on Friday. He also expects the RBA to cut interest rates in August.

Major currencies showed limited reaction to China's latest surveys of manufacturing and services sector activity.

A private survey showed that activity at China's factories shrank for a 15th straight month in May while official surveys showed factory and services sector activity both expanding. a basket of six major currencies, the U.S. dollar last traded at 95.862 .DXY , staying below a two-month high of 95.968 set on Monday.

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Data released on Tuesday showed that U.S. consumer spending recorded its biggest increase in more than six years in April but consumer confidence dipped and survey on business activity in U.S. Midwest also underwhelmed. upshot was that investors slightly lowered their expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve over the near term.

The euro eased 0.1 percent to $1.1119 EUR= , staying above Monday's 2-1/2 month low of $1.1097.

The dollar held steady at 110.68 yen JPY= . The greenback had set a one-month high of 111.455 yen on Monday.

The British pound remains vulnerable, having suffered its biggest fall in more than two months the previous day as two opinion polls showed a shift among British voters towards leaving the European Union. pound was steady at $1.4483 GBP=D4 , having fallen 1.1 percent on Tuesday.

Implied volatilities on sterling options GBPVOL= jumped sharply and risk reversal spreads, which compare the cost of pound calls and puts, widened in favour of pound puts.

"The market's pricing had been leaning towards Britain staying in Europe. The markets had been becoming too optimistic," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities.

Yamamoto said the impact of the guessing game on the British referendum on June 23 will go beyond the sterling as rising prospects of "Brexit" could hamper any plans the Fed may have for hiking rates later in June, curbing the dollar's gains.

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