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Comerica revises Q4 outlook citing loan declines and FDIC fees

EditorRachael Rajan
Published 08/12/2023, 04:48 am
© Reuters.
CMA
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Comerica Incorporated (NYSE:CMA) has updated its fourth-quarter forecast, indicating a decrease in average loans to $53 billion from the previous quarter's $54 billion. This decline is attributed to reduced activity in certain sectors, although it has been partially offset by increases in others. Additionally, the bank has observed a slight dip in average deposits to $65.8 billion, with notable shifts between different types of deposits.

Despite these changes and the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate policy leading to increased funding costs, Comerica is holding steady on its net interest income (NII) projections. The bank anticipates a sequential NII decline of about 5-6% but expects this to be counterbalanced by a strong loan pipeline that supports a forecasted 7% loan growth in 2023.

The bank's loan growth has been consistent, with a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.9%. Furthermore, NII has experienced robust growth with a three-year CAGR of 13.6% and is projected to increase by 1-2% this year.

A significant factor impacting the bank's expenses is an expected Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) special assessment of $109 million for the fourth quarter, which will contribute to an approximate 3% increase in non-interest expenses.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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