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Airbnb stock target cut at UBS on lower take rate increase forecasts

EditorRachael Rajan
Published 15/02/2024, 01:46 am
© Reuters
ABNB
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On Wednesday, UBS revised its price target for shares of Airbnb Inc . (NASDAQ:ABNB), decreasing it to $143 from the previous $148, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The adjustment follows Airbnb's fourth-quarter results for 2023, which surpassed expectations in several key performance indicators, including room nights, gross bookings, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA.

Airbnb's earnings report indicated a slowdown in room night growth projections for the first quarter of 2024, estimated at approximately 8.5% year-over-year. Despite this deceleration, the company expects gross bookings growth around 8%, supported by relatively stable to slightly increased average daily rates (ADRs). The timing of the Easter holidays and alterations in the booking-to-stay patterns are anticipated to contribute to a higher take rate, potentially leading to a more rapid revenue growth within the range of 12-14% year-over-year, compared to UBS's updated estimate of 14%.

The firm highlighted Airbnb's initiatives to tailor its offerings to suit local markets, with specific mentions of Brazil and South Korea, as a significant development from the last quarter. These efforts are expected to reduce transactional friction and support sustained growth in room nights.

"Given what looks to us to be a more gradual roll-out of its recently announced cross-currency fee, we have moderated our take rate increase forecasts," said UBS.

The Neutral rating suggests a balanced perspective on the stock's potential performance in the near term.

InvestingPro Insights

In line with UBS's assessment, Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ:ABNB) does indeed have several strong financial metrics to consider. According to real-time data from InvestingPro, Airbnb has a robust market capitalization of $92.31 billion and an attractive price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.49, which adjusts slightly higher to 17.86 when looking at the last twelve months as of Q3 2023. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for Airbnb's earnings potential. Moreover, the company's gross profit margin stands impressively high at 82.67% over the same period, indicating efficient operations and cost control.

Furthermore, the InvestingPro Tips highlight Airbnb's financial stability and growth prospects. The company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, a reassuring sign for investors concerned about financial risk. Also, analysts predict that Airbnb will be profitable this year, with net income expected to grow, which could be a driving factor for future stock performance. These insights suggest that Airbnb's current strategies may continue to yield positive results.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into Airbnb's financial health and potential, InvestingPro offers additional tips, including insights into valuation multiples and the company's ability to cover its obligations. With a total of 14 InvestingPro Tips available, users can gain a comprehensive understanding of the stock's prospects. For those interested, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription and explore these insights at https://www.investing.com/pro/ABNB.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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