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FOREX-Risk currencies recover from Friday carnage, dollar consolidates

Published 01/03/2021, 12:05 pm
Updated 01/03/2021, 12:06 pm
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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USD/CHF
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AUD/USD
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DX
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* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

TOKYO, March 1 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar and other riskier currencies recovered some lost ground against the U.S. dollar on Monday, after suffering their biggest plunges in a year at the end of last week amid a hefty sell-off in global bond markets.

The greenback =USD weakened broadly early in Asia trade, but barely enough to trim its biggest surge since June from Friday.

Currency markets have taken cues from the global bond market, where yields have surged in anticipation of an accelerated economic recovery.

The aggressive bond selling implies a bet that global central bankers will need to tighten policy much earlier than they have so far been forecasting. and commodities have also sold off as the debt rout unsettles investors.

"USD direction is likely to hinge on not only the direction, but also the pace, of global bond moves," Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategists wrote in a research note.

Bond moves are trumping economic data as the driver of foreign-exchange markets, with yields moving "well in advance" of economic fundamentals, they said.

"The risk is tilted to a firmer USD this week because we doubt central banks will intervene in any meaningful way yet."

The Aussie AUD= jumped 0.6% to $0.7754 early in the Asian session on Monday, following a 2.1% plunge on Friday.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 strengthened 0.6% to $0.7270, recovering some of Friday's 1.9% slide.

The euro EUR=EBS gained 0.2% to $1.20910, after dropping 0.9% at the end of last week, the most since April.

The dollar slipped 0.1% to 106.415 yen JPY=EBS , but still near the six-month high of 106.69 touched Friday.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who last week repeated the U.S. central bank will look through any near-term inflation spike and tighten policy only when the economy is clearly improving, will speak on the economy this Friday, the same day as the usually closely watched monthly payrolls data is due. Reserve Bank of Australia will hold its monthly policy meeting on Tuesday, and markets are widely expecting it to reinforce its forward guidance for three more years of near-zero rates, while also addressing the market dislocation. bid prices at 050 GMT Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.2095

$1.2070

+0.22%

-1.00%

+1.2102

+1.2070 Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

106.4420

106.5700

-0.15%

+3.02%

+106.5670 +106.4000 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

128.74

128.60

+0.11%

+1.43%

+128.8000 +128.6000 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9075

0.9086

-0.13%

+2.57%

+0.9086

+0.9060 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

1.3983

1.3923

+0.45%

+2.37%

+1.3990

+1.3931 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2693

1.2740

-0.35%

-0.31%

+1.2732

+1.2690 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7747

0.7799

-0.64%

+0.73%

+0.7757

+0.7706 NZ

NZD=D3

0.7271

0.7231

+0.57%

+1.27%

+0.7280

+0.7234 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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