Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-Dollar steady before US jobs data, poised for weekly gains

Published 04/05/2018, 11:46 am
Updated 04/05/2018, 11:50 am
FOREX-Dollar steady before US jobs data, poised for weekly gains
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
DX
-
DXY
-

* Dollar down from 4-month high vs basket of currencies

* Profit-taking sets in after its recent rally

* U.S. dollar's index on track for third straight weekly gain

By Masayuki Kitano

SINGAPORE, May 4 (Reuters) - The dollar held steady against a basket of currencies on Friday, having retreated from four-month highs on profit-taking, with the focus on whether U.S. jobs data will provide the spark for another push higher.

The dollar has erased all its 2018 losses over the past few weeks on expectations the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates while other central banks, including the European Central Bank, take longer to reduce stimulus.

Further dollar gains will likely depend on data showing a further improvement in growth and inflation, which could fan speculation that the U.S. central bank could raise interest rates this year three more times.

The dollar's index against a basket of six major currencies last traded at 92.417 .DXY . That was down from a peak of 92.834 set on Wednesday, the greenback's strongest level since late December.

The dollar index has climbed nearly 1 percent so far this week, putting it on track for a third straight weekly gain.

The Fed held interest rates steady on Wednesday and expressed confidence that a recent quickening in inflation to near the central bank's target would be sustained, leaving it on track to raise borrowing costs in June. analysts interpreted the Fed's comments on inflation as a signal it may allow price growth beyond its target, a stance that would limit the need for it to embark on a more aggressive path of tightening.

Friday's employment report for April will be evaluated for further indications of the strength of the U.S. labour market and inflation pressures.

The dollar is likely to rise, especially against the euro, if the U.S. jobs data points to solid wage growth, said Stephen Innes, head of trading in Asia-Pacific for Oanda in Singapore.

"If...wages come out a little bit stronger than expected, I think the euro tests $1.19," Innes said.

The euro held steady at $1.1988 EUR= , having pulled up from a near four-month low of $1.1938 set on Wednesday.

"There was definitely some good buying that came in overnight on the euro. But it was not new money coming in, it was guys taking profit," said Innes at Oanda, referring to short-covering in the euro.

The common currency had risen 0.3 percent on Thursday, shrugging off data showing an unexpected slowdown in euro zone inflation, as the dollar's recent rally paused.

Euro zone inflation slowed to 1.2 percent year-on-year in April, down from 1.3 percent in March, and core inflation fell even more, raising questions about the European Central Bank's plan for withdrawing its monetary stimulus. dollar eased 0.1 percent to 109.14 yen JPY= , down from a three-month high of 110.05 yen struck on Wednesday.

In emerging markets, the Argentina peso tumbled to a record low on Thursday despite a dramatic rate hike by the central bank, pointing to a lack of investor confidence in Latin America's No.3 economy, which is blighted by one of the world's highest inflation rates. Thursday, the currency ARS=RASL fell nearly 8 percent to trade at 23 pesos per U.S. dollar, even as the central bank hiked the benchmark interest rate 300 basis points to 33.25 percent, its second surprise hike in less than a week.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.