Unlock Premium Data: Up to 50% Off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-Dollar steady as Fed dot plot thickens; yen edges higher

Published 19/03/2018, 02:54 pm
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar steady as Fed dot plot thickens; yen edges higher
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CAD
-
EUR/JPY
-
BARC
-
DX
-
MIAPJ0000PUS
-
DXY
-

* Dollar index steady, Fed policy projections in focus

* Yen could gain if pressure mounts on Abe over scandal

* Canadian dollar hits 9-month low vs USD (Updates prices, adds comments)

By Hideyuki Sano and Masayuki Kitano

TOKYO/SINGAPORE, March 19 (Reuters) - The dollar held steady against a basket of major peers on Monday as traders braced for new Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's first monetary policy meeting this week, and as the increased threat of trade protectionism kept markets on edge.

The safe haven yen edged higher as investors' risk appetite waned, with MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS slipping 0.2 percent.

Traders are also nervous after weekend polls suggested a massive drop in public support for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe over his handling of a festering cronyism scandal, which has raised doubts about his ability to press forward with his reflationary economic agenda including monetary easing.

The dollar's index against a basket of six major peers stood at 90.276 .DXY =USD . On Friday, the dollar index had hit a two-week high near 90.38, following strong U.S. economic data.

U.S. industrial production surged in February, while the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose in March to the highest level since 2004. figures reinforced views that the global economy is enjoying strong growth and that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday.

With a 25 basis point rate hike seen as a done deal, a key focus is on whether Fed policy makers forecast four rate hikes this year in their "dot plot" projections, instead of three they had projected at a December meeting.

The prospects of more rate hikes typically support a currency because higher interest rates tend to attract funds. However, recent political headlines have drawn more attention as investors fret that U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff and other protectionist policies could disrupt the U.S. and global economy.

The Canadian dollar has taken the brunt of worries about U.S. protectionism, as investors discount the risk Trump may walk out of the North American Free Trade Agreement.

The Canadian currency CAD=D4 slipped to C$1.3111 per U.S. dollar earlier on Monday, its weakest level since June 2017. It last stood at C$1.3102, little changed on the day.

In Japan, domestic politics have been an increasing focal point for traders.

A Nippon TV poll found Abe's support crumbling some 14 percentage points from last month to 30 percent, the lowest for that poll in Abe's more than five years in office. dollar eased 0.1 percent to 105.84 yen JPY= , inching back in the direction of a 16-month low of 105.24 yen set on March 2.

Most traders think the yen will rise if Abe has to resign given that his push for aggressive monetary stimulus has weighed on the currency.

"Japanese political risk will be a market focus for now. There is the risk that 'Abenomics' will be rolled back," said Shinichiro Kadota, strategist at Barclays (LON:BARC) in Tokyo.

The yen also rose on the crosses, with the euro down 0.3 percent against the Japanese currency at 129.89 yen EURJPY=R .

"There's political concern in Japan, but also a lot of cross/yen selling," said Tareck Horchani, head of sales trading in Asia-Pacific for Saxo Markets in Singapore.

Against the dollar, the euro fell 0.2 percent to $1.2270 EUR= .

The common currency has been in a holding pattern since it hit a three-year high of $1.2556 on Feb. 16, with its March 1 low of $1.21545 seen as another support level.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.