NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

FOREX-Dollar slumps to 8-week low on bets U.S. tapering remains distant

Published 26/04/2021, 04:08 pm
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
USD/CNY
-
BTC/USD
-
BTC/USD
-

* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* Focus is on Fed meeting ending Wednesday

* Treasury yields and dollar likely to fall on Fed stance

* Euro bid on improving economic data

* Turkish lira at risk of testing all-time low

By Stanley White

TOKYO, April 26 (Reuters) - The dollar slumped to an almost eight-week low versus major peers on Monday amid speculation that U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will shun talk of tapering bond purchases at a policy meeting this week.

The euro rose to a two-month high against the greenback before data later on Monday forecast to show an improvement in German business sentiment, which would bolster hopes for a brighter economic outlook.

Powell is likely to face questions over whether an improving labour market and rising coronavirus vaccinations warrant a withdrawal of monetary easing, but most analysts expect him to say such talk is premature, which would put downward pressure on Treasury yields and the dollar.

"The dollar is likely to continue to trend lower in line with the gathering momentum in the world economy," analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia wrote in a research note.

"We expect the Fed policy meeting to be a non-event for the dollar. The U.S. economy is a long way from meeting the 'substantial further progress' threshold for the Fed to taper its asset purchases."

The dollar stood at 107.71 yen JPY=EBS , close to its lowest since March 4.

The euro EUR=D3 rose as high as $1.2117, adding to gains made on Friday after positive data on European services and manufacturing activity. survey from Germany's Ifo institute due later on Monday is expected to show business conditions continued to improve in Europe's largest economy.

The British pound GBP=D3 was quoted 0.2% higher at $1.3902, adding to a 0.3% gain in the previous session.

The dollar was little changed at 0.91225 Swiss franc CHF=EBS , close to a two-month low.

The Fed's next meeting ends on Wednesday, and while no major policy changes are expected, investors will pay close attention to Powell's comments after the meeting.

Rising coronavirus vaccination rates and an improving economic outlook are reasons to be optimistic, but many traders and analysts say Powell is likely to reiterate his commitment to keep easy policy in place for an extended period.

"He recently said that the Fed is unlikely to start lifting rates before 2022," Royal Bank of Canada strategist Alvin Tan wrote in a client note.

"While we think that view will be challenged over the coming year, (he) is likely to continue reiterating it this week."

U.S. funds have been selling the dollar against the yen recently in Asian trading, which is an additional sign that major investors expect lower U.S. Treasury yields to push the dollar lower, some traders in Tokyo said.

In emerging markets, traders are watching the Turkish lira TRYTOM=D3 to see if it will test its all-time low of 8.58 per dollar due to worsening relations with the United States and worries about a dovish central bank governor. The lira was last quoted at 8.4225.

The onshore yuan CNY=CFXS edged up to 6.4889 per dollar, just shy of a six-week high.

Elsewhere, the Australian AUD=D3 and New Zealand dollars NZD=D3 rose toward one-month highs but are likely to track moves in global commodity prices, traders said.

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin BTC=BTSP reclaimed the $50,000 mark, last trading 6.7% higher at $52,417, and smaller rival Ether ETH=BTSP rose 6% to $2,460, recouping some of their losses from last week triggered by U.S. President Joe Biden's plan to raise capital gains taxes for wealthy investors. bid prices at 553 GMT Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.2110

$1.2097

+0.11%

-0.88%

+1.2117

+1.2089 Dollar/Yen

JPY=EBS

107.6820

107.8800

-0.19%

+4.24%

+107.9270 +107.6700 Euro/Yen

130.46

-0.05%

+2.74%

+130.5900 +130.3800

S>

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9125

0.9137

-0.11%

+3.15%

+0.9140

+0.9122 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

1.3902

1.3881

+0.16%

+1.76%

+1.3906

+1.3872 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2460

1.2475

-0.11%

-2.14%

+1.2489

+1.2450 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7772

0.7746

+0.36%

+1.06%

+0.7780

+0.7735 NZ

NZD=D3

0.7212

0.7195

+0.25%

+0.45%

+0.7220

+0.7191 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.