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FOREX-Dollar rises after U.S. data, but posts largest monthly fall since December

Published 01/05/2021, 05:19 am
Updated 01/05/2021, 05:24 am
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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USD/CHF
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USD/CAD
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USD/SEK
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DX
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* Robust U.S. data helps dollar

* Investors take profits on short dollar bets

* Euro posts best month since July 2020

* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E (Adds comment, updates prices)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, April 30 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Friday, extending gains after upbeat data on personal income, spending, and manufacturing in the U.S. Midwest, with market participants also taking profits on the currency's short dollar positions this month.

The dollar index was down 2.1% for the month of April, its largest monthly loss since December.

Next week's U.S. data, which includes non-farm payrolls for April and key U.S. manufacturing and services indexes, should reinforce expectations of a strong recovery from the pandemic by the world's largest economy.

"Another round of potentially strong data in the U.S. may add pressure to start discussing tapering," said ING in its latest research note.

"With some possible fresh weakness in Treasuries on the way, the U.S. dollar might find some respite against the low-yielders," the bank added.

After the Fed's policy meeting on Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the U.S. economy's growth, but said there was not enough evidence of "substantial further progress" toward recovery to warrant a change to its ultra-loose monetary settings. data showing a 4.2% rebound in U.S. consumer spending in March, amid a 21.1% surge in income as households received additional COVID-19 relief money from the government, supported the dollar. That led to a 0.4% rise in the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, compared with a gain of 0.3% the previous month. remained firm on the Fed's interest rate path and QE (quantitative easing) program on Wednesday, leaving traders with the uncomfortable feeling inflation could run away - and run away quickly," Adam Corbett, currency analyst, at Cambridge Global Payments, said in a research note after the data.

Similarly, the dollar also gained after the Chicago Purchasing Management Index (PMI) showed a reading for April of 72.1, the highest in almost four decades.

In afternoon trading, the dollar index =USD ended the week up 0.5%. It was last up 0.7% at 91.263, the largest daily gain since late February.

"The current strength in the dollar is likely a pivot to the seasonal trend that we tend to see in May and June," said Mazen Issa, senior currency strategist at TD Securities in New York, after the greenback's underperformance this month. He added that April is typically one of the weaker months for the dollar.

The Canadian dollar CAD=D3 climbed to a more-than three-year high of C$1.2266 per greenback on Friday, on track for a 1.6% weekly gain that would be its biggest since early November. The U.S. dollar was last flat at C$1.2276.

In contrast to the Fed's dovishness, the Bank of Canada has already begun to taper its asset purchases. Canada's commodity-linked loonie got additional support from a surge in oil to a six-week peak, along with higher lumber prices.

The euro EUR=EBS traded 0.8% lower at $1.2025, posting its largest daily percentage fall since late February. But it was up 2.5% for the month versus the dollar, its best monthly showing since July 2020.

The dollar also rose against the yen, up 0.3% at 109.29 JPY=EBS , rising 1% for the week. But it was down 1.3% for the month, its worst monthly showing since July 2020 as well.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:01PM (1901 GMT) Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Dollar index

=USD

91.2580

90.6200

+0.71%

1.419%

+91.3110

+90.5880 Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.2024

$1.2122

-0.80%

-1.58%

+$1.2127

+$1.2018 Dollar/Yen

JPY=EBS

109.2950

108.9150

+0.37%

+5.80%

+109.3400 +108.7100 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

131.42

131.99

-0.43%

+3.55%

+132.1900 +131.3800 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9134

0.9089

+0.51%

+3.26%

+0.9136

+0.9082 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

$1.3810

$1.3946

-0.97%

+1.08%

+$1.3958

+$1.3804 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2279

1.2278

+0.01%

-3.57%

+1.2322

+1.2266 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

$0.7705

$0.7766

-0.77%

+0.18%

+$0.7784

+$0.7704 Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

1.0981

1.1013

-0.29%

+1.61%

+1.1022

+1.0976 Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.8704

0.8691

+0.15%

-2.61%

+0.8717

+0.8682 NZ

NZD=D3

$0.7158

$0.7243

-1.14%

-0.29%

+$0.7254

+$0.7160 Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway

NOK=D3

8.3115

8.1895

+1.48%

-3.21%

+8.3220

+8.1820 Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

9.9964

9.9355

+0.61%

-4.50%

+10.0164

+9.9215 Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

8.4595

8.3705

+0.26%

+3.21%

+8.4642

+8.3620 Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

10.1724

10.1460

+0.26%

+0.95%

+10.1817

+10.1385

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E Dollar heads for fourth weekly loss

https://tmsnrt.rs/3b8GtJl

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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