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FOREX-Dollar nurses losses as U.S.-China trade tensions cloud outlook

Published 09/04/2018, 10:52 am
Updated 09/04/2018, 11:00 am
© Reuters. FOREX-Dollar nurses losses as U.S.-China trade tensions cloud outlook
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* Dollar index firmer, but below last week's 1-month high

* Eyes on U.S.-China trade tensions

* U.S. job growth disappoints, but wage growth up

By Masayuki Kitano

SINGAPORE, April 9 (Reuters) - The dollar nursed its losses on Monday, having retreated late last week due to concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions and following data that showed the U.S. economy created the fewest jobs in six months in March.

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies stood at 90.180 .DXY , down from a one-month high of 90.597 hit ahead of the U.S. non-farm payrolls on Friday.

The greenback had faltered against the safe-haven yen and Swiss franc on Friday in the wake of comments from China that raised renewed concerns about the U.S.-China trade dispute.

China warned on Friday it was fully prepared to respond with a "fierce counter strike" of fresh trade measures if the United States follows through on President Donald Trump's threat to slap tariffs on an additional $100 billion of Chinese goods. combative statements from Washington and Beijing have stirred fears of a full-blown trade war that could hurt global economic growth, though investors are holding out hope that negotiations will result in a far less damaging compromise.

Risk aversion appears less intense than it did a few weeks ago, partly due to hopes for negotiations between the United States and China toward a pragmatic solution, said Shinichiro Kadota, senior strategist for Barclays (LON:BARC) in Tokyo.

"We're no longer in a phase where the dollar keeps falling persistently against the yen," Kadota said.

"But at the same time, the (dollar's) upside will likely be heavy, given the concerns over a trade war, as well as range-bound moves in U.S. yields and the end of one-way rises in U.S. equities," Kadota added.

Against the yen, the dollar held steady at 106.92 yen JPY= after shedding 0.4 percent on Friday to pull away from a five-week high of 107.49 yen set on Thursday.

That rise to Thursday's peak marked a gain of 2.8 percent for the dollar against the yen, compared with a 16-month low of 104.56 yen set on March 26.

The U.S. payrolls report for March showed fewer job gains than expected and weighed on the dollar on Friday.

Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report showed an increase of just 103,000 jobs in March, down from February's surge of 326,000. bright spot though was a 0.3 percent monthly rise in average hourly earnings, which pushed the annual wage growth rate higher.

The euro was down 0.1 percent in early Asian trade at $1.2272 EUR= , but traded above a one-month low touched on Friday at $1.2215.

The U.S.-China trade dispute outweighed the generally upbeat remarks on the economy from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who said on Friday that the Fed will likely need to keep raising U.S. interest rates to keep inflation under control.

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