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FOREX-Dollar near 1-month lows as strong debt sale weighs on U.S. yields

Published 14/04/2021, 06:23 pm
© Reuters.
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* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Saikat Chatterjee

LONDON, April 14 (Reuters) - The dollar held near a one-month low on Wednesday as strong demand at a U.S. bond auction fuelled a widespread drop in Treasury yields, reducing the interest rate advantage the greenback held over other major currencies.

In early London trading, the dollar edged 0.1% lower versus a basket of its rivals =USD to 91.75, its lowest level since March. 19.

After peaking at a 4-1/2 month high of 93.43 at the end of March, the greenback has since declined nearly 2% as Treasury yields eased.

While rate differentials between U.S. and German benchmark 10-year yields DE10US10=RR have narrowed slightly to 193 bps from more than 200 bps at the start of the month, they remain considerably higher than 150 bps seen at the start of the year.

The dollar's decline was further fuelled by a pick up in inflationary pressures which showed U.S. consumer prices rose by the most in more than 8-1/2 years in March at 2.6%.

Higher inflation failed to translate into expectations of an acceleration in policy tightening. December 2022 futures contracts are signalling a slower rise in implied interest rates, reflecting the Fed's resolve to keep policy on hold.

"The Fed's continued commitment to loose monetary policy remains a key assumption behind our view that it is still too premature to expect a sustained US dollar rally at the current juncture," MUFG strategists said.

The dollar was particularly vulnerable against the yen JPY=EBS and the euro, with the single currency EUR=EBS threatening to rise above the psychologically important level of $1.20 for the first time since early March.

Elsewhere, the New Zealand dollar rose 0.4% to $0.7086 NZD=D4 after the country's central bank held its official interest rate and asset purchase programme steady, as expected. Singapore dollar rose 0.25% to S$1.3376 SGD=D3 after the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) left its exchange-rate policy settings unchanged. cryptocurrencies, bitcoin hit a record high of $64,895 BTC=BTSP ahead of the listing of cryptocurrency platform Coinbase on Nasdaq later in the day. World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E dollar positions

https://tmsnrt.rs/3siohSW

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