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FOREX-Dollar hits 4-week low as Fed's dovish message gains sway; rouble sinks

Published 15/04/2021, 03:46 pm
© Reuters.
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* Russian rouble drops more than 1% on reports of U.S. sanctions

* Euro hits four-week top to dollar with U.S. yields subdued

* Commodity-linked Aussie and kiwi reach three-weak peaks

* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Hideyuki Sano and Kevin Buckland

TOKYO, April 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar sank to a new four-week low versus major peers on Thursday as Treasury yields pulled back from last month's surge, with investors increasingly convinced by the Federal Reserve's arguments that interest rates will stay low for some time.

The Russian rouble RUBUTSTN=MCX sank more than 1% to 76.65 per dollar on reports the U.S. will announce sanctions on Russia as soon as Thursday for alleged election interference and malicious cyber activity. dollar index =USD , which tracks the greenback against six rival currencies, dipped to the lowest since March 18 at 91.559 in the Asian session before recovering to be basically flat at 91.666.

The euro EUR= rose as high as a four-week top of $1.1989, matching the highest level since March 4, before trading mostly unchanged at $1.19735.

The dollar changed hands at 108.87 yen JPY= , after hitting a three-week low of 108.755 on Wednesday.

"The dollar has been losing steam a bit in line with falls in U.S. bond yields as the Fed has maintained its dovish stance," said Yujiro Goto, chief currency strategist at Nomura Securities.

Repeated assurances from Fed officials that it will keep interest rates low have helped stabilise U.S. bonds, especially at the short end of the market.

While many investors remain nervous the Fed could change its tone later this year if inflation readings swing much higher than expected, for now they are content to give the Fed the benefit of the doubt.

Ten-year U.S. bond yields eased to 1.6342% US10YT=TWEB in Asian trading, well below a 14-month peak of 1.776% hit late March, reducing the dollar's yield attraction.

Meanwhile, stocks have marched higher, with the S&P 500 .SPX setting new records this week.

"Risk sentiment is improving," dragging on bond yields and the dollar, said Osamu Takashima, chief currency strategist at Citigroup (NYSE:C) Global Markets Japan.

"I believe the dollar weakening trend could continue," with a move toward 108 yen and $1.205 per euro in the very near term, he said.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that in time the U.S. central bank will reduce its monthly bond purchases before it commits to an interest rate increase, a scenario many investors have regarded as a given. weaker U.S. dollar also saw commodity currencies supported. The Australian dollar AUD= rose at high as $0.7745 on Thursday for the first time since March 23, following a 1% rally in the previous session that saw it break out of its tight trading band over the last few weeks.

The New Zealand dollar NZD= likewise hit a three-week high of $0.7160.

"When economic data is strong and the Fed is not turning hawkish, we could see risk-sensitive currencies gaining against both the dollar and the yen," said Nomura's Goto.

Thursday is busy with U.S. data, including retail sales readings for March and weekly jobless figures due at 1230GMT.

Bitcoin BTC=BTSP stood near the record high of $64,895.22 hit on Wednesday, when cryptocurrency platform Coinbase COIN.O made its debut in Nasdaq in direct listing. The world's most popular digital token last changed hands at around $63,250.

After a volatile trade, the stock closed at $328.28, which gave the firm market capitalisation of $65.39 billion, about the same as New York Stock Exchange owner Intercontinental Exchange Inc ICE (NYSE:ICE).N . bid prices at 520 GMT Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.1973

$1.1980

-0.05%

-2.00%

+1.1990

+1.1970 Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

108.8520

108.9550

-0.08%

+5.40%

+108.9500 +108.8400 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

130.34

130.47

-0.10%

+2.69%

+130.5500 +130.3200 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9235

0.9229

+0.10%

+4.42%

+0.9240

+0.9224 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

1.3766

1.3776

-0.08%

+0.75%

+1.3793

+1.3765 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2526

1.2521

+0.02%

-1.66%

+1.2526

+1.2505 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7712

0.7723

-0.12%

+0.28%

+0.7744

+0.7706 NZ

NZD=D3

0.7143

0.7140

+0.07%

-0.50%

+0.7158

+0.7138 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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