FOREX-Dollar dips as markets price for Biden victory, Trump touts some stimulus

Published 08/10/2020, 12:46 am
Updated 08/10/2020, 12:48 am
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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USD/NOK
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DX
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E (Adds details, updates prices; previous LONDON)

By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK, Oct 7 (Reuters) - The dollar dipped on Wednesday as investors looked ahead to a possible Democrat victory at the November 3 U.S. Presidential election, and after U.S. President Donald Trump said that he was ready to sign off on some stimulus measures.

Election polls are showing a widening lead for Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden, while some betting markets are also reflecting the prospect of Democrats taking control of the U.S. Senate next month.

“FX markets are starting to, at the margin, price in not only a Biden presidency but also a blue sweep as well,” said Mazen Issa, senior FX strategist at TD Securities in New York.

Investors have been building short bets on the U.S. dollar index on the growing likelihood of a Democrat victory, Issa said. "The market is looking at it as being reflationary.”

A Democratic sweep would make larger fiscal stimulus more likely, which would weaken the U.S. currency.

Biden opened his widest lead in a month in the U.S. presidential vote, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Sunday. greenback also dipped after Trump said late on Tuesday that Congress should quickly extend $25 billion in new payroll assistance to U.S. passenger airlines furloughing thousands of workers as air travel remains down sharply amid the coronavirus pandemic. came after he abruptly ended talks with Democrats on an economic aid package, accusing House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi of not negotiating in good faith. sent stock markets tumbling on Tuesday afternoon and boosted demand for the dollar.

The dollar index, tracking the unit against a basket of major currencies =USD , fell 0.19% on Wednesday to 93.64. It reached a two-week low of 93.33 on Tuesday, before Trump's comments.

The greenback gained 0.25% against the safe haven Japanese yen JPY= to 105.88 yen.

The euro EUR= rose 0.32% to $1.1771 as dollar weakness overcame data showing that German industrial output edged down in August following three months of relatively strong increases, suggesting the recovery in Europe's largest economy from the coronavirus shock was starting to lose steam. Federal Reserve will release minutes from its September meeting on Wednesday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Tuesday that the U.S. economic recovery remained far from complete and could still slip into a downward spiral if the coronavirus is not effectively controlled and growth sustained. bid prices at 9:28AM (1328 GMT) Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=

$1.1771

$1.1734

+0.32%

+5.00%

+1.1782

+1.1726 Dollar/Yen

JPY=

105.8800

105.6200

+0.25%

-2.74%

+106.1000 +105.6100 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

124.64

123.93

+0.57%

+2.21%

+124.8700 +123.8700 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=

0.9160

0.9177

-0.19%

-5.35%

+0.9184

+0.9160 Sterling/Dollar GBP=

1.2872

1.2877

-0.04%

-2.92%

+1.2929

+1.2847 Dollar/Canadian CAD=

1.3281

1.3307

-0.20%

+2.27%

+1.3340

+1.3269 Australian/Doll AUD=

0.7140

0.7104

+0.51%

+1.69%

+0.7146

+0.7097 ar

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

1.0786

1.0769

+0.16%

-0.61%

+1.0796

+1.0768 Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.9144

0.9111

+0.36%

+8.16%

+0.9160

+0.9095 NZ

NZD=

0.6596

0.6586

+0.15%

-2.08%

+0.6600

+0.6576 Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway

NOK=

9.2938

9.3634

-0.74%

+5.87%

+9.3824

+9.2744 Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

10.9423

10.9900

-0.43%

+11.23%

+11.0091

+10.9186 Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

8.8966

8.9271

-0.35%

-4.82%

+8.9683

+8.8898 Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

10.4750

10.5116

-0.35%

+0.06%

+10.5230

+10.4685

(Editing by Bernadette Baum)

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