Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

REFILE-FOREX-Dollar climbs, Mexican peso dives as U.S. presidential race too close to call

Published 04/11/2020, 02:33 pm
Updated 04/11/2020, 03:24 pm
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CAD
-
DBKGn
-
MS
-
DX
-
DXY
-
USD/CNH
-

(Corrects to add attribution to first quote in paragraph 4 and fix grammar in paragraph 14)

* Dollar jumps as U.S. presidential race neck-and-neck

* Mexican peso, Chinese yuan hit hardest on trade war worries

* Trump keeps slight lead in Florida

By Hideyuki Sano and Eimi Yamamitsu

TOKYO, Nov 4 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar jumped and risk-sensitive currencies weakened on Wednesday as early results in the U.S. presidential election showed a very tight race, prompting a wind-back of bets on a victory by Democratic challenger Joe Biden.

President Donald Trump, who has so far trailed in polls, has maintained a slim lead in key battleground state of Florida, with the Chinese yuan and Mexican peso hit hardest by the spectre of four more years of his aggressive trade policy.

(For multimedia U.S. election coverage, click: https://www.reuters.com/world/us-election2020 )

"I think the odds of a clean sweep are diminishing, almost by the minute. That reduces the possibility, or the likelihood at least of a large stimulus program being agreed to in the first days of a Biden administration," said Matt Sherwood, head of investment strategy at Perpetual in Sydney.

The Mexican peso fell almost 4% at one point and last traded at 20.905 per dollar MXN=D4 , down almost 3% while the offshore Chinese yuan fell 0.8% to 6.7362 to the dollar CNH= , hitting one-month low at one point.

Among major currencies, the euro fell 1% to a low not seen since late July and last stood at $1.1624 EUR= , down 0.82% on day.

The Australian dollar lost 0.6% to $0.7128 AUD=D4 while the British pound dropped 0.6% to $1.2983 GBP=D4 . The Canadian dollar fell 0.65% to C$1.3218 per U.S. unit CAD=D4 . All of them sank more than one percent at one point.

The Japanese yen also gave up 0.65% to 105.195 per dollar JPY= .

Trump was narrowly leading Biden in Florida, while other competitive swing states that will help decide the election outcome, such as Georgia and North Carolina, remained up in the air. undercut expectations in markets this week that Biden will likely win the presidency and adopt a large stimulus to support the economy.

"If Biden won Florida, he was almost certain to win the entire race but uncertainties seem high and we are seeing a correction in risk-on trades," said Yujiro Goto, head of FX strategy at Nomura Securities.

The dollar index measuring the greenback against a basket of currencies .DXY gained 0.7% to 94.202.

Investors were increasingly braced for the possibility that the election results may not become clear on Wednesday, with markets hedging against the risk of a contested election or a potentially drawn out process as mail in ballots were counted.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) have said if the results are too close to call by 12pm EST on Wednesday (0500 GMT on Thursday), it will likely be too close to call for several days beyond that.

"A contested election probably takes all of the SPX, Bond yields and the USD (at least versus majors) down meaningfully," said Alan Ruskin, chief international strategist at Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn) in New York.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.