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FOREX-Dollar ascendant as Powell stays dovish course; risk currencies slide

Published 05/03/2021, 12:24 pm
Updated 05/03/2021, 12:30 pm
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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USD/CHF
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AUD/USD
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NZD/USD
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DX
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US10YT=X
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* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO, March 5 (Reuters) - The dollar held firmly near three-month highs on Friday after surging overnight as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stuck with dovish rhetoric despite a recent spike in bond market volatility.

The U.S. currency soared the most in a month after Powell said the violent sell-off in Treasuries last week was "notable and caught my attention" but was not "disorderly" or likely to push long-term rates so high the Fed might have to intervene more forcefully. he reiterated a commitment to maintain ultra-easy monetary policy until the economy is "very far along the road to recovery."

Powell's remarks reignited selling in Treasuries, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR jumping back above 1.5% and rising as high as 1.5830% in Asia. Last week, it had soared to a three-month top of 1.614%. currencies including the Australian and New Zealand dollars slid along with stocks as investor sentiment again turned sour.

"Quite a night for market volatility, with the bond market the centre of attention," Ray Attrill, head of forex strategy at National Australia Bank in Sydney, wrote in a client note.

"The market was seemingly looking for Powell to push back harder on the recent increase in yields."

The dollar index =USD was little changed at 91.660 early in the Asian session after gaining 0.7% overnight.

The euro EUR=EBS slipped 0.1% to $1.19635, a one-month low, following a 0.7% slump overnight.

The dollar eased slightly to 107.835 yen JPY=EBS , but remained near the multi-month high at the cusp of 108 touched during Thursday's 0.9% surge.

The safe-haven dollar has been supported both by the higher Treasury yields themselves, and the upswing in risk aversion the bond rout has fomented.

Impending U.S. fiscal stimulus is adding fuel to expectations of higher inflation, as the accelerating rollout of COVID vaccines heightens optimism for an economic recovery. many analysts expect commodity-linked currencies to climb as economies reopen after the pandemic, they have been hurt by the souring mood.

The Aussie AUD=D3 weakened 0.3% to $0.7705, extending Thursday's 0.7% drop. The kiwi NZD=D3 fell 0.2%, adding to its 0.8% slide overnight. ========================================================

Currency bid prices at 106 GMT Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.1956

$1.1973

-0.12%

-2.13%

+1.1977

+1.1956 Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

107.8850

107.9400

-0.06%

+4.44%

+107.9970 +107.8750 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

129.00

129.25

-0.19%

+1.64%

+129.3100 +129.0200 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9293

0.9288

+0.05%

+5.04%

+0.9296

+0.9288 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

1.3875

1.3897

-0.13%

+1.59%

+1.3895

+1.3879 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2687

1.2667

+0.17%

-0.35%

+1.2687

+1.2661 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7699

0.7721

-0.25%

+0.11%

+0.7726

+0.7701 NZ

NZD=D3

0.7162

0.7186

-0.29%

-0.22%

+0.7192

+0.7165 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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