💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

FOREX-Dollar holds gains, U.S. data awaited for fresh incentives

Published 13/05/2016, 01:16 pm
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar holds gains, U.S. data awaited for fresh incentives
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
AUD/USD
-
BARC
-

* Dollar awaits U.S. data, with particular focus on retail sales

* U.S. yields' rise after Fed Rosengren's comments prop up USD

* Aussie remains on defensive, on track to lose 1 pct this week (Adds details, quotes)

By Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO, May 13 (Reuters) - The dollar held to gains against the yen and euro on Friday, awaiting U.S. data later in the day that could set the greenback's tone.

The dollar was little changed at 108.86 yen JPY= after gaining about 0.6 percent overnight.

The U.S. currency, which had hit an 18-month low of 105.55 yen last week after the Bank of Japan stood pat on monetary policy, was on track to rise 1.8 percent on the week. Verbal warnings by Japanese authorities over the past week have so far helped cool the yen's rally.

The euro was effectively flat at $1.1371 EUR= after shedding 0.4 percent on Thursday.

The dollar was buoyed overnight as U.S. Treasury yields rose when Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren said the Fed should raise interest rates if data confirms a stronger jobs market and inflation outlook in the second quarter. He added that the markets are too pessimistic on the economy. currency market will have a chance to gauge the underlying strength of the U.S. economy through a batch of data to be released later in the day.

"In terms of impact on the dollar, April retail sales data will be key, especially since a high rise is expected. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index also bears watching," said Shin Kadota, chief Japan FX strategist at Barclays (LON:BARC) in Tokyo.

The April U.S. producer price index (PPI) is also due later in the day. ECONUS

The dollar could face renewed pressure against peers like the yen if U.S. economic indicators fall short of expectations, which would be a new potential headache for Japanese authorities who have managed to arrest the yen's appreciation by threatening to intervene.

"Japanese officials can keep up their verbal warnings and even actually intervene, but the fundamentals continue pointing towards a stronger yen - a view many speculators appear to have embraced," said Junichi Ishikawa, forex analyst at IG Securities in Tokyo.

"Japan's current account surplus continues to increase and U.S. rate hike expectations for the year have been cut down from four to one. Furthermore, currency policy will likely become a topic in the U.S. presidential elections, making it hard for Japan to intervene," he added, listing the factors favouring a strong yen.

Japan's current account surplus was largest since 2007 in March due to falling oil import costs and a hefty income surplus from overseas investment, Ministry of Finance data showed on Thursday.

The United States has for years called on countries with current account surpluses to do more to lift their domestic demand, which has been perceived to be lacklustre.

The pound dipped slightly to $1.4437 GBP=D4 , having spiked briefly overnight to a two-week high of $1.4532. Sterling rose on Thursday after Bank of England (BOE) policymakers voted unanimously to keep interest rates unchanged, quashing talk that one or two might vote in favour of a cut.

The BOE said sterling could fall sharply and unemployment would probably rise should Britain opt to leave the European Union - its starkest warning so far of the likely impact a "Brexit" would have. Australian dollar, weighed down recently by a central bank rate cut and a drop in the price of iron ore, remained on the back foot against a buoyant dollar.

The Aussie fell to a fresh two-month low of $0.7286 AUD=D4 . It was poised to fall 1 percent against the greenback this week.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.