Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-Dollar hovers near 3-mth high, U.S. jobs awaited for rate clues

Published 06/11/2015, 02:32 pm
Updated 06/11/2015, 02:40 pm
© Reuters. FOREX-Dollar hovers near 3-mth high, U.S. jobs awaited for rate clues
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
BARC
-
DX
-
US2YT=X
-
DXY
-

* Dlr index at 3-mth high on rising expectations of Dec rate hike

* Euro hovers above major support from double bottom

* Sterling at 3-week low after BoE dampens rate hike expectations (Adds details, quotes)

By Hideyuki Sano and Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The dollar held firm on Friday with investors on tenterhooks over whether upcoming U.S. jobs data will be strong enough to cement rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next month.

The dollar index .DXY treaded water at 97.927, keeping in close reach of a three-month high of 98.135 .DXY =USD struck on Thursday.

"Fed policymakers appear to be trying to keep the possibility of a December rate hike alive since their last policy meeting," said Shinichiro Kadota, chief Japan forex strategist at Barclays (L:BARC).

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Wednesday that "liftoff" in interest rates in December was a live possibility, leading investors to think a rate hike will come next month unless economic indicators drastically weaken in coming weeks. urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL1N12Z20G

"There have been comments from Fed officials that appear to be attempting to lower the hurdle on the payroll increase. If payrolls increase about 170,000-180,000 as markets expect, rate hike expectations will heighten further," Barclays' Kadota said.

The median forecast for October nonfarm payrolls in a Reuters poll of economists is an increase of 180,000, above slightly sluggish job growth of 142,000 in September. The data is due at 1330 GMT.

Market focus was on how equities react to the jobs report if the data heightens prospects of a rate hike in December.

"The dollar has so far climbed on the back of rising U.S. bond yields, but that will not be enough to sustain a further rise," said Junichi Ishikawa, a market analyst at IG Securities in Tokyo.

The 2-year Treasury yield US2YT=RR touched a 4-1/2-year high of 0.861 percent overnight on continued expectations of the Fed raising rates in December.

"If stocks can retain their gains, the dollar can go even higher as the 'risk on' mood will work to its benefit. The stock markets will have to show that it has priced in a December rate hike," Ishikawa said.

The euro, which has been under pressure since the European Central Bank late last month signalled additional easing, slipped to as low as $1.0834 EUR= , its lowest level since late July, on Thursday.

The common currency last stood at $1.0884, hovering not far from a major support around $1.0810-20, a double bottom chart pattern hit earlier this year. A break below could open the way for a test of its April low of $1.05205.

The dollar hit a 2-1/2-month high of 122.01 yen JPY= on Thursday and last stood at 121.64 yen.

Closing above resistance at 121.75, would signal a break above its trading range in the past few months and could lead to a test of resistance around 123, George Davis, chief technical analyst at RBC Dominion Securities in Toronto, said in report.

The British pound GBP=D4 fell 1.2 percent on Thursday, its biggest drop since late August, after the Bank of England's governor dismissed the view it would raise interest rates shortly after the Fed.

The Bank of England gave no sign on Thursday it was in a hurry to raise interest rates, predicting that inflation, now near zero, would pick up only slowly even if rates stay on hold all next year, and highlighting the increase in external risks to the UK economy over the past three months. urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL8N12Z2U4

The pound stood at $1.5216 GBP=D4 , near a three-week low of $1.5205 touched on Thursday. (Editing by Eric Meijer and Jacqueline Wong)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.