💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Australia posts lowest current account deficit since 2001, still disappoints

Published 06/06/2017, 12:22 pm
Updated 06/06/2017, 12:30 pm
© Reuters.  Australia posts lowest current account deficit since 2001, still disappoints

* Current account deficit of A$3.1 bln misses forecasts

* Net exports trim 0.7 ppt from Q1 GDP as bad weather hits volumes

* Q1 economic growth seen around 0.2 pct q/q, 1.6 pct y/y

* RBA expected to hold rates at 1.5 pct on optimism for outlook

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, June 6 (Reuters) - Australia's current account deficit narrowed to its smallest in more than 15 years last quarter courtesy of surging prices for its major resource exports, providing a bulwark for the country's endangered triple-A credit rating.

Yet the shortfall of A$3.1 billion ($2.31 billion) still disappointed investors who had hoped for a surplus and knocked the Australian dollar down a quarter U.S. cent to $0.7463 AUD=D4 .

The main miss came from investment income with Australians earning less from their assets abroad.

The volume of exports shipped also slipped, partly due to bad weather, and shaved a larger-than-forecast 0.7 percentage points from real gross domestic product (GDP).

Other data out on Tuesday showed government spending added only marginally to growth in the first quarter. combined, that left analysts forecasting the economy expanded a meagre 0.2 percent in the quarter, a step back from the previous quarter's brisk 1.1 percent. ECONAU

Growth for the year is seen slowing to around 1.6 percent, from 2.4 percent, when the report is released on Wednesday.

A big unknown is household consumption which surprised with its strength late in 2016, but is being burdened by record-low wage growth and high levels of mortgage debt.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) remains confident economic activity will pick up again to reach around 3 percent, a major reason it is thought certain to keep interest rates steady at its June policy meeting on Tuesday. AU/INT

Rates have been at an all-time low of 1.5 percent since August last year and look like staying there for some time yet.

Most analysts polled by Reuters expect no change until late 2018 while markets imply only an 18 percent chance of a cut by the end of this year 0#YIB: .

Tuesday's figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics did show a barnstorming performance by commodity exports which boosted the surplus on goods and services to A$9.0 billion.

That was easily the biggest surplus since the series began in 1959 and owed much to higher prices for iron ore and coal, though those have come off their peaks in the last month or so.

The sharp improvement in the country's perennial deficit with the rest of the world should make it less vulnerable to swings in investor sentiment.

It also lessens one threat to Australia's top credit rating, which has been under pressure from persistent budget shortfalls at home. S&P recently affirmed the rating at triple-A after spending months warning that a downgrade might be warranted.

($1 = 1.3401 Australian dollars)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.