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Australia, NZ dollars resurgent on virus vaccine hopes

Published 17/11/2020, 12:56 pm
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By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Nov 17 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar climbed to a one-week high on Tuesday, holding above key chart resistance of 73 U.S. cents, while its New Zealand peer was perched at a 19-month top as investor sentiment was boosted by coronavirus vaccine hopes.

Risk assets were buoyed overnight by news that Moderna 's MRNA.O COVID-19 vaccine recorded a 94.5% efficacy rate in preliminary numbers from a large late-stage clinical trial.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 , a liquid proxy for risk, rose to $0.7319, a level last seen on Nov. 9. It was edging closer to a recent nine-week peak of $0.7340.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 was up at $0.6910. It was also within striking distance of a $0.6938 top from March 2019, a break of which would be bullish technically.

"The Moderna news overnight is the second positive vaccine news following Pfizer/BioNTech results last week," NAB analysts wrote in a note.

"Arguably, however, Moderna's preliminary results are even better and provide a massive boost to the fight against the pandemic," they added.

"These are all very encouraging news, meaning that by late January/early February we could have vaccines being distributed to those in most need."

Earlier, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released minutes of its Nov. 3 policy meeting in which it said it was ready to provide yet more policy stimulus if needed. RBA had trimmed the cash rate to 0.1% and launched a A$100 billion quantitative easing (QE) programme over six months.

Analysts said a recent virus outbreak in South Australia and ongoing trade spat with China could cap gains for the Aussie.

Across the Tasman Sea, the kiwi dollar was flying high after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) wrongfooted many last week by playing down the chance of negative rates.

That, combined with a global rally in risk assets, has seen New Zealand 10-year yields NZ10YT=RR spike to 0.925% from just 0.58% at the start of this month.

Australian yields have also climbed, but not by nearly as much due to the RBA's QE programme. The 10-year AU10YT=RR was last at 0.899%, compared to 0.83% at the start of November.

New Zealand government bonds 0#NZTSY= were sold off, sending yields about 6 basis points higher at the long-end of the curve.

Australian government bond futures slipped, with the three-year bond contract YTTc1 down half a tick at 99.825. The 10-year contract YTCc1 eased 4 ticks to 99.07. (Editing by Sam Holmes)

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