🧐 ProPicks AI October update is out now! See which stocks made the listPick Stocks with AI

Australia, NZ dlrs caught out by oil spill, soft data

Published 19/03/2021, 03:54 pm
© Reuters.
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-
AU10YT=RR
-
NZ10YT=RR
-

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, March 19 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the defensive on Friday after a plunge in oil prices spilled over into other commodities, while domestic economic data turned soft and broke a run of strong releases.

A spike in Treasury yields to 14-month highs also underpinned the U.S. dollar while slugging local bond markets.

The Aussie eased back to $0.7742 AUD=D3 , from an overnight top of $0.7849, leaving it flat for the week so far. Resistance remains stiff in the $0.7840/50 zone, while support lies around $0.7700.

The kiwi dollar lapsed to $0.7154 NZD=D3 and away from a peak of $0.7268, leaving it down 0.3% on the week. A break of support at $0.7150 could see a test of the March trough at $0.7100.

Much of the pullback coincided with a 7% slide in oil prices, which dragged on commodity-linked currencies in general.

"With crude prices leading commodities lower, the risks of further weakness for the A$ are clear to see," said analysts at Westpac in a note.

For the kiwi, they noted the $0.7100 area had provided solid support over the past three months. "Medium-term, we remain in a buy-dip state and target $0.7550 by May."

The Aussie was not helped by data showing retail sales fell 1.1% in February, when analysts had looked for a rise of around 0.4%. Spending was again hit by coronavirus lockdowns, this time in Victoria and Western Australia. took the shine off Thursday's surprisingly strong jobs report, though analysts assumed sales would bounce back this month as the country is mostly COVID-free and vaccines are being rolled out in larger numbers.

The kiwi was still weathering Thursday's report showing the New Zealand economy shrank by 1% last quarter, putting the country at risk of a technical recession. soft readings did help offset a little of the global pressure on local bonds, with NZ 10-year yields NZ10YT=RR steadying at 1.848% and off the recent peak of 2.048%.

Yields on Australian 10-year paper AU10YT=RR eased to 1.82%, from 1.87%. That left the spread over Treasuries at 12 basis points, a long way from the 39 basis points seen at one stage of the mass sell-off in February.

Meanwhile, European yields have been held back by European Central Bank bond buying, giving the Aussie a marked advantage over the euro. The single currency slipped as far as A$1.5261 EURAUD= this week, close to its lowest since January 2018. by Ana Nicolaci da Costa)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.