NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

Australia dollar dips on rate outlook, NZ dollar holds gains

Published 12/05/2016, 01:33 pm
Updated 12/05/2016, 01:40 pm
© Reuters.  Australia dollar dips on rate outlook, NZ dollar holds gains
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-
US2YT=X
-
AU2YT=RR
-
NZ2YT=RR
-

By Cecile Lefort and Rebecca Howard

SYDNEY/WELLINGTON, May 12 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar fell across the board on Thursday, while its New Zealand counterpart held steady on the changing rate outlook between the two countries.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 dipped to $0.7334, from $0.7374 early, pulling closer to a two-month trough of 73 cents touched on Tuesday.

Selling picked up steam on the back of unwinding of Aussie long positions against the Kiwi AUDNZD=R as markets lessen the chance of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ).

Overnight Index Swaps price a 76 percent chance of a rate cut on June 9, from 90 percent earlier in the week.

The Aussie slipped 0.5 percent in the session to NZ$1.0750, and off a peak of NZ$1.0920 touched this week.

The Aussie has tumbled around 5 U.S. cents in three weeks, largely after the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates for the first time in a year and on expectations of more easing.

Interbank futures 0#YIB: are fully priced for another cut this year and a small chance of a further move to 1.25 percent.

The changing rate outlook between New Zealand and Australia sent the two-year bond spread to 43 basis points, from just 2 basis points in late April. AU2YT=RR NZ2YT=RR .

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 held gains at $0.6819, having bounced from $0.6717 touched on Tuesday. The Kiwi got a lift after the central bank failed to announce any specific measures to curb the hot housing market, potentially putting a lid on any further interest rate cuts.

The Kiwi has gained some traction "as economists and traders alike question whether the RBNZ chief has the stomach to cut rates further given the extent of the housing concerns," said Stuart Ive, private client manager for OM Financial Ltd.

Ive said the Kiwi faced resistance at $0.6850-$0.6890.

New Zealand government bonds 0#NZTSY= gained, sending yields 3.5 basis points lower at the short end and 5 basis points lower at the long end.

Australian government bond futures had a firm tone, with the three-year bond contract YTTc1 up 2 ticks at 98.450. The 10-year contract YTCc1 edged up 1 tick to 97.7150, while the 20-year contract YXXc1 gained 2.5 ticks to 97.0950.

The diverging interest rate outlook between Australia and the United States kept the two-year bond spread AU2YT=RR US2YT=RR near a decade low at 87 basis points. (Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.