💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Australia dlr poised for biggest monthly gain in 4 yrs, NZD follows

Published 31/03/2016, 01:14 pm
© Reuters.  Australia dlr poised for biggest monthly gain in 4 yrs, NZD follows
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-
AU2YT=RR
-

By Cecile Lefort and Charlotte Greenfield

SYDNEY/WELLINGTON, March 31 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars stood near nine-month peaks on Thursday, though their explosive monthly gains were unlikely to be greeted with open arms by their respective central banks.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 sat at $0.7658, having popped above 77 cents on Wednesday for the first time since June. It has leapt 7.1 percent so far this month and if sustained, it would be the largest such increase since late 2011.

Resistance was found at $0.7750.

Yet, strength in the Aussie, up 8 cents since mid-January, could test the patience of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The central bank holds its policy review on April 5 and while it is widely expected to keep rates at a record low of 2 percent, some dealers see increasing risks of an easing.

"The rising AUD could tip a reluctant RBA into cutting rates," said Citi, adding the central bank was more likely to react should inflation and economic activity both weaken.

Undermining the RBA's efforts to support a shift in the economy away from mining to sectors such as tourism, retail and education, are a dovish U.S. Federal Reserve and ultra-loose policies in Japan and Europe. All of which have only boosted the appeal of higher-yielding currencies.

Australia's two-year bonds pay 1.9 percent AU2YT=RR , while New Zealand's counterparts offer 2.0 percent. That compares with the negative yields of Germany, France, Sweden and more recently Japan.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 rose as high as $0.6965 overnight, a level unseen since June, before retracing to around $0.6900 in morning trade.

"There has been no holding back the NZD/USD. Late last evening it gapped through technical resistance at $0.6900, subsequently trading between $0.6900 and $0.6950," said BNZ Senior Market Strategist Kymberly Martin in a research note.

It was on track for an increase of 4.7 percent in March, its largest monthly gain since November.

That again would be unwelcome to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand which cut rates early in March in part to head off any further appreciation in the currency.

New Zealand government bonds 0#NZTSY= gained, sending yields half a basis point lower at the short end of the curve.

Australian government bond futures rose, with the three-year bond contract YTTc1 up 2 ticks at 98.120. The 10-year contract YTCc1 added 1 tick to 97.5150, while the 20-year contract YXXc1 edged up 1.5 tick to 96.9450.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.