Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Australia, NZ dlrs near recent lows on China, iron ore

Published 16/05/2016, 01:10 pm
© Reuters.  Australia, NZ dlrs near recent lows on China, iron ore
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-
US2YT=X
-
AU2YT=RR
-

By Cecile Lefort and Charlotte Greenfield

SYDNEY/WELLINGTON, May 16 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar slumped to multi-month lows against major currencies on Monday after soft Chinese economic data and sliding iron ore prices knocked the wind out of commodity currencies.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 , often used as a liquid proxy for China plays, dipped to its lowest in two-and-a-half months at $0.7236 AUD=D4 , before recovering modestly to $0.7283.

The euro and pound rose to their highest since mid-February against the Aussie EURAUD=R GBPAUD=R , while the kiwi rose to a peak not seen since Feb. 29. AUDNZD=R

Much of the pressure followed news at the weekend showing Chinese investment, factory output and retail sales all missed forecasts, adding to doubts about whether the economy is stabilising. The Antipodean currencies are sensitive to news out of China, a top export market for both Australia and New Zealand.

The Aussie has tumbled 4 percent so far this month, largely after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut rates to a record low of 1.75 percent.

Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed speculators reduced long Aussie positions to 82,774 contracts the week ended May 10, from around 100,000 the week before. Yet, they were still net long 38,158, suggesting the Aussie had room to fall.

"In response to the RBA's downgrade of inflation outlook, speculative funds took out USD1 billion of net AUD longs to USD2.8 billion, the lowest net AUD longs in four weeks," ANZ said in a note.

Also undermining the Aussie were sliding prices for iron ore, Australia's top export earner. The mineral .IO62-CNI=SI plumbed on Friday its lowest in two-months.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 edged down to $0.6762, down from $0.6775 as global risk aversion lent strength to the US dollar.

"The kiwi starts the week on the back foot," ANZ analysts said. "Despite decent local activity data, global developments remain the defining factor for NZD/USD."

Growth in New Zealand's services sector picked up in April for its strongest monthly expansion in 2016, a survey showed on Monday, though this had little effect on the New Zealand dollar. expected the Kiwi to trade between $0.6680 and $0.6840.

New Zealand government bonds 0#NZTSY= gained, sending yields 2 basis points lower at the short end of the curve and 4 basis points lower at the long end of the curve.

Australian government bond futures scaled record highs, with the three-year bond contract YTTc1 up 2 ticks at 98.470. The 10-year contract YTCc1 added 4 ticks to 97.7700 in a bullish flattening of the curve. The 20-year contract YXXc1 edged up half a tick to 97.1400.

The premium between Australian AU2YT=RR and U.S. US2YT=RR two-year cash bonds stood at a decade-low of 83 basis points. A break of key support around 79 basis points could see a retracement all the way to 44 basis points, the 2006 trough.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.