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Australia, NZ dlrs firm vs USD, but slip vs speedy yen

Published 29/04/2016, 01:34 pm
© Reuters.  Australia, NZ dlrs firm vs USD, but slip vs speedy yen
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By Cecile Lefort and Rebecca Howard

SYDNEY/WELLINGTON, April 29 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar retook some ground on Friday, while its New Zealand peer held gains on the U.S. dollar, but the Antipodean currencies were on track for heavy monthly losses versus the yen.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 edged up to $0.7642, from a low of $0.7570 on Thursday, but it met resistance around $0.7660.

It has slipped 1 percent this week after surprisingly low inflation figures for the first quarter prompted markets to price in a greater chance of a cut in interest rates.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) holds its monthly policy meeting on May 3 and while the vast majority of economists still expect rates to be held steady at a record low of 2.0 percent, 11 out of 49 respondents polled by Reuters forecast a cut. futures 0#YIB: imply around a 50-50 chance of a cut, up from 1-in-10 earlier in the week.

The big mover of the day was the yen which flew across the board after the Bank of Japan surprised markets by declining to adopt fresh stimulus on Thursday.

The Aussie skidded to 82.05 yen AUDJPY=R , on track to post a monthly drop of 5 percent. The New Zealand dollar fell to 74.82 yen NZDJPY=R , having dropped 3 yen this month.

But the Aussie managed to recoup some ground against its kiwi neighbour at NZ$1.0961, from a two-month trough of NZ$1.0914 touched twice this week. AUDNZD=R

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 was trading higher after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept rates on hold on Thursday and sounded slightly less dovish than some had expected.

The Kiwi rose to $0.6970, driven up by a number of factors to again test the $0.70 level, ANZ Bank said in a note.

"Firstly, the USD is on the back foot and the market has concluded the Fed remains cautious. The second is that the RBNZ message was also interpreted as less dovish than before," ANZ said.

The kiwi was on track for a monthly increase of nearly 1 percent in the third consecutive month of gains.

Domestically news that business confidence inched higher in April added to support for the Kiwi. ANZ expected the kiwi to trade in a range of $0.6920-$0.7020 in the short term.

New Zealand government bonds 0#NZTSY= gained slightly with yields down 1 to 2 basis points in the middle of the curve.

Australian government bond futures were firm, with the three-year bond contract YTTc1 up 2 ticks at 98.160. The 10-year contract YTCc1 edged up 1 tick to 97.4950, while the 20-year contract YXXc1 gained 1 tick to 96.9150. (Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)

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