🤑 It doesn’t get more affordable. Grab this 60% OFF Black Friday offer before it disappears…CLAIM SALE

Australia business investment slips again, outlook uninspiring

Published 23/02/2017, 02:13 pm
© Reuters.  Australia business investment slips again, outlook uninspiring
JPM
-

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Feb 23 (Reuters) - Australian business investment has fallen for the fourth straight quarter as miners continue to cut back, but other sectors narrowly upgraded their spending plans for the year in tentative signs of recovery.

Thursday's figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed investment slipped 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter to A$27.6 billion ($21.18 billion), when analysts had looked for a fall of only 1 percent.

The decline was entirely driven by the mining sector where spending fell over 9 percent, even as new investment in manufacturing climbed 3.1 percent.

Importantly, spending on equipment, plant and machinery did edge up in the fourth quarter which adds to expectations economic growth bounced after a shock contraction in the previous quarter.

Figures due next week are generally expected to show the economy grew around 0.6 percent to 0.7 percent last quarter.

While economists are convinced that Australia has dodged its first recession in 25 years, the data are yet to show a meaningful recovery in the non-mining economy.

Indeed, spending plans for 2017/18 came in at A$80.6 billion, the lowest in a decade and under the A$84 billion many analysts had looked for.

Again all the weakness was in mining with investment in other parts of the economy unable to offset the plunge.

"That shows the momentum is still down. That's not what you want. What you want to see is a rise in those estimates," said Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital.

"I think it keeps alive the prospect for another rate cut although the RBA has set a very high hurdle for taking rates lower."

After cutting rates to a record low of 1.5 percent last year, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been on hold in the expectation that growth in the A$1.6 trillion economy will accelerate to around 3 percent. this week, RBA Governor Philip Lowe argued the drag from mining was almost over and cutting rates again would only serve to inflate a debt-driven bubble in the housing market.

Businesses, however, do not seem keen to co-operate.

"Even though the mining capex drag is fading away, the recovery in non-mining is really tepid at this point," said Ben Jarman, an economist at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM).

"We are seeing global business sentiment surveys rally quite a bit but it doesn't appear like Australian firms are following suit with their capex plans at the moment."

($1 = 1.3031 Australian dollars)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.