🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Marketmind: Battered bond market braces for payrolls

Published 07/07/2023, 02:39 pm
Updated 07/07/2023, 02:57 pm
© Reuters. An employee hiring sign with a QR code is seen in a window of a business in Arlington, Virginia, U.S., April 7, 2023. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz
AUD/USD
-
GS
-

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook

Bond markets are in a world of pain, with yields catapulted to decade highs across developed markets.

The trigger is not immediately clear, selling having begun before private U.S. payrolls data landed on Thursday, but the momentum has stopped out those positioned for peak rates and has hit the longer end of the curve particularly hard.

Non-farm U.S. payrolls due at 1230 GMT will present another conundrum that's unlikely to end well for bonds. Is a strong figure good for risk, since it means recession is being avoided? Or is it bad news because it implies higher interest rates?

Dealers in Asia reckoned either is bad for bonds, which were under pressure around the region. Aussie ten-year yields joined gilt yields at decade highs.

Treasuries nursed losses from a two-day rout.

Asian stocks slid to five-week lows.

Adding to the dour mood in Asia was a selloff in Chinese banks, which have become the latest focal point for worry about the disappointing state of the world's second-biggest economy.

An editorial in China's state-backed Securities Times said on Friday that Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS)' downgrade of Chinese banking stocks was based on pessimistic assumptions that investors would be ill-advised to follow.

Yet, follow they have done, as Hong Kong's banking index slid toward a weekly loss of 10%, its worst showing in five years. The twin concerns - higher rates and slowing Chinese growth - seem to have finally put the brakes on stocks.

© Reuters. An employee hiring sign with a QR code is seen in a window of a business in Arlington, Virginia, U.S., April 7, 2023. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz

Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:

U.S. non-farm payrolls

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.